Sweden v Tunisia
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-15 · 02:00

Sweden v Tunisia

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
Best price at BetAnythingMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)70%
Model edge+9.3%
Odds1.42 2/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Sweden51%
Draw28%
Tunisia22%
$377,631 liquidity · $152,906 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Tunisia46%4.70
Match Winner — Draw28%3.60
Match Winner — Sweden26%1.96
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 1.5 goals77%1.42
Over 2.5 goals51%2.36
Under 2.5 goals49%1.71
Under 1.5 goals23%2.90
Over 2 goals1.73
Under 2 goals2.25
Over 2.25 goals2.02
Under 2.25 goals1.87
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Tunisia or Draw75%
Double chance — Sweden or Tunisia72%
Draw no bet — Tunisia65%
Double chance — Sweden or Draw54%
Tunisia to win47%
Draw no bet — Sweden36%
Draw28%
Sweden to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals71%
BTTS — Yes55%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Under 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%
Under 1.5 goals23%
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%
Over 4.5 goals14%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Sweden to score 137%
Both score no draw36%
Tunisia to score 132%
Sweden to score 032%
Tunisia clean sheet32%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Tunisia to score 226%
Tunisia win to nil24%
Winning margin — Tunisia by 122%
Tunisia to score 3+21%
Sweden to score 221%
Tunisia to score 020%
Sweden clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Sweden by 115%
Winning margin — Tunisia by 215%
Correct score 1-113%
Sweden win to nil12%
Sweden to score 3+11%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-19%
Correct score 0-28%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Sweden by 27%
Winning margin — Tunisia by 37%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 1-06%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 1-35%
Correct score 0-34%
Winning margin — Tunisia by 43%
Winning margin — Sweden by 32%
Winning margin — Tunisia by 5+1%
Winning margin — Sweden by 41%
Winning margin — Sweden by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Tunisia to win either half60%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Sweden to win either half41%
1st Half result — Tunisia35%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Tunisia / Tunisia28%
Tunisia to score in both halves27%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
1st Half result — Sweden22%
Sweden to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Draw / Tunisia16%
HT/FT Sweden / Sweden15%
Tunisia to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / Sweden10%
Sweden to win both halves5%
HT/FT Tunisia / Draw5%
HT/FT Sweden / Draw5%
HT/FT Sweden / Tunisia2%
HT/FT Tunisia / Sweden2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Tunisia -2.597%
Handicap — Sweden +2.590%
Handicap — Tunisia -1.589%
Handicap — Sweden +1.575%
Handicap — Tunisia -0.575%
Handicap — Sweden +0.554%
Handicap — Tunisia +0.547%
Handicap — Sweden -0.526%
Handicap — Tunisia +1.525%
Handicap — Sweden -1.511%
Handicap — Tunisia +2.510%
Handicap — Sweden -2.53%