Netherlands v Sweden
Back to board
Netherlands v Sweden
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge—
Odds1.23 2/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Netherlands60%
Draw24%
Sweden18%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Netherlands56%1.69—
Match Winner — Draw25%4.20—
Match Winner — Sweden20%5.60—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals57%2.00—
Under 2.5 goals43%1.92—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Netherlands or Draw81%——
Double chance — Netherlands or Sweden75%——
Draw no bet — Netherlands74%——
Netherlands to win56%——
Double chance — Sweden or Draw44%——
Draw no bet — Sweden26%——
Draw25%——
Sweden to win20%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals82%——
Over 1.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals65%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals57%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
Under 2.5 goals43%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals35%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%——
Under 1.5 goals19%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%——
Over 4.5 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Sweden to score 137%——
Sweden to score 034%——
Netherlands clean sheet34%——
Netherlands to score 3+30%——
Netherlands to score 128%——
Netherlands win to nil28%——
Netherlands to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw25%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 122%——
Sweden to score 220%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 217%——
Netherlands to score 015%——
Sweden clean sheet15%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 112%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 310%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Sweden to score 3+9%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Sweden win to nil8%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 26%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 44%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 32%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 40%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals80%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals78%——
Netherlands to win either half72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals55%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals45%——
1st Half result — Netherlands45%——
Netherlands to score in both halves44%——
HT/FT Netherlands / Netherlands39%——
Sweden to win either half37%——
1st Half result — Draw35%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Half with most goals — Equal22%——
Netherlands to win both halves22%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals22%——
Sweden to score in both halves21%——
1st Half result — Sweden20%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals20%——
HT/FT Draw / Netherlands17%——
HT/FT Sweden / Sweden12%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT Draw / Sweden7%——
HT/FT Sweden / Draw5%——
HT/FT Netherlands / Draw5%——
Sweden to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Sweden / Netherlands4%——
HT/FT Netherlands / Sweden2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Netherlands +2.598%——
Handicap — Netherlands +1.592%——
Handicap — Sweden -2.584%——
Handicap — Netherlands +0.581%——
Handicap — Sweden -1.567%——
Handicap — Netherlands -0.556%——
Handicap — Sweden -0.544%——
Handicap — Netherlands -1.533%——
Handicap — Sweden +0.520%——
Handicap — Netherlands -2.516%——
Handicap — Sweden +1.58%——
Handicap — Sweden +2.52%——