Tunisia v Japan
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Tunisia v Japan
Recommended bet
Japan or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Tunisia17%
Draw27%
Japan58%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Japan51%1.78—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.70—
Match Winner — Tunisia21%5.80—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals51%1.68—
Over 2.5 goals49%2.23—
Over 2 goals—1.66—
Under 2 goals—2.33—
Over 2.25 goals—1.93—
Under 2.25 goals—1.89—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Japan or Draw79%——
Double chance — Tunisia or Japan73%——
Draw no bet — Japan71%——
Japan to win51%——
Double chance — Tunisia or Draw49%——
Draw no bet — Tunisia29%——
Draw28%——
Tunisia to win21%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals73%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
Under 2.5 goals51%——
Over 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%——
Over 3.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Tunisia to score 037%——
Japan clean sheet37%——
Tunisia to score 137%——
Both score no draw34%——
Japan to score 132%——
Japan win to nil28%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Japan to score 226%——
Japan to score 3+23%——
Winning margin — Japan by 123%——
Japan to score 019%——
Tunisia clean sheet19%——
Tunisia to score 218%——
Winning margin — Japan by 216%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 113%——
Tunisia win to nil11%——
Correct score 0-110%——
Correct score 0-210%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Winning margin — Japan by 38%——
Tunisia to score 3+8%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 26%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 0-35%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Japan by 43%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 32%——
Winning margin — Japan by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 40%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals73%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals64%——
Japan to win either half61%——
1st Half result — Draw45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half result — Japan36%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals36%——
Tunisia to win either half35%——
HT/FT Japan / Japan30%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
Half with most goals — Equal28%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals28%——
Japan to score in both halves26%——
1st Half result — Tunisia19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%——
HT/FT Draw / Japan18%——
Japan to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Tunisia / Tunisia12%——
Tunisia to score in both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Tunisia9%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%——
HT/FT Japan / Draw5%——
HT/FT Tunisia / Draw5%——
Tunisia to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Tunisia / Japan2%——
HT/FT Japan / Tunisia1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Japan -2.598%——
Handicap — Japan -1.592%——
Handicap — Tunisia +2.588%——
Handicap — Japan -0.579%——
Handicap — Tunisia +1.572%——
Handicap — Japan +0.551%——
Handicap — Tunisia +0.549%——
Handicap — Japan +1.528%——
Handicap — Tunisia -0.521%——
Handicap — Japan +2.512%——
Handicap — Tunisia -1.58%——
Handicap — Tunisia -2.52%——