Tunisia v Netherlands
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Tunisia v Netherlands
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Tunisia14%
Draw23%
Netherlands66%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Netherlands43%1.61—
Match Winner — Draw29%4.60—
Match Winner — Tunisia28%7.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals51%1.88—
Under 2.5 goals49%1.98—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Netherlands or Draw72%——
Double chance — Tunisia or Netherlands71%——
Draw no bet — Netherlands60%——
Double chance — Tunisia or Draw57%——
Netherlands to win43%——
Draw no bet — Tunisia40%——
Draw29%——
Tunisia to win28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Tunisia to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
Netherlands to score 133%——
Tunisia to score 030%——
Netherlands clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Netherlands to score 225%——
Netherlands win to nil22%——
Netherlands to score 022%——
Tunisia clean sheet22%——
Tunisia to score 222%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 121%——
Netherlands to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 116%——
Tunisia win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 213%——
Tunisia to score 3+12%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 28%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 33%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 42%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 41%——
Winning margin — Netherlands by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Tunisia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%——
Netherlands to win either half56%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Tunisia to win either half43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
1st Half result — Netherlands32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
HT/FT Netherlands / Netherlands26%——
Netherlands to score in both halves25%——
1st Half result — Tunisia24%——
Tunisia to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Tunisia / Tunisia17%——
HT/FT Draw / Netherlands16%——
Netherlands to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Tunisia11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%——
Tunisia to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Netherlands / Draw5%——
HT/FT Tunisia / Draw5%——
HT/FT Tunisia / Netherlands2%——
HT/FT Netherlands / Tunisia2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Netherlands -2.596%——
Handicap — Tunisia +2.591%——
Handicap — Netherlands -1.588%——
Handicap — Tunisia +1.578%——
Handicap — Netherlands -0.572%——
Handicap — Tunisia +0.557%——
Handicap — Netherlands +0.543%——
Handicap — Tunisia -0.528%——
Handicap — Netherlands +1.522%——
Handicap — Tunisia -1.512%——
Handicap — Netherlands +2.59%——
Handicap — Tunisia -2.54%——