Japan v Sweden
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Japan v Sweden
Recommended bet
Japan or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge—
Odds1.16 1/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Japan47%
Draw28%
Sweden27%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Japan63%2.15—
Match Winner — Draw23%3.53—
Match Winner — Sweden14%3.75—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals56%2.14—
Under 2.5 goals44%1.76—
Over 2.25 goals—1.83—
Under 2.25 goals—2.04—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Japan or Draw86%——
Draw no bet — Japan82%——
Double chance — Japan or Sweden77%——
Japan to win63%——
Double chance — Sweden or Draw37%——
Draw23%——
Draw no bet — Sweden18%——
Sweden to win14%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals66%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
BTTS — No48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals34%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals31%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Sweden to score 042%——
Japan clean sheet42%——
Sweden to score 137%——
Both score no draw36%——
Japan win to nil35%——
Japan to score 3+34%——
Japan to score 227%——
Japan to score 126%——
Winning margin — Japan by 123%——
Winning margin — Draw23%——
Winning margin — Japan by 220%——
Sweden to score 216%——
Japan to score 013%——
Sweden clean sheet13%——
Winning margin — Japan by 312%——
Correct score 2-011%——
Correct score 1-111%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-010%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 19%——
Correct score 3-08%——
Correct score 3-17%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Sweden win to nil6%——
Sweden to score 3+6%——
Winning margin — Japan by 46%——
Correct score 2-24%——
Correct score 1-24%——
Correct score 4-04%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 24%——
Winning margin — Japan by 5+3%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 31%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 40%——
Winning margin — Sweden by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals82%——
Japan to win either half77%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals58%——
1st Half result — Japan49%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
Japan to score in both halves45%——
HT/FT Japan / Japan44%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals42%——
1st Half result — Draw35%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Sweden to win either half29%——
Japan to win both halves27%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals24%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
HT/FT Draw / Japan19%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%——
1st Half result — Sweden16%——
Sweden to score in both halves14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT Sweden / Sweden8%——
HT/FT Draw / Sweden6%——
HT/FT Sweden / Draw4%——
HT/FT Japan / Draw4%——
HT/FT Sweden / Japan3%——
Sweden to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Japan / Sweden1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Japan +2.599%——
Handicap — Japan +1.595%——
Handicap — Japan +0.586%——
Handicap — Sweden -2.579%——
Handicap — Japan -0.563%——
Handicap — Sweden -1.560%——
Handicap — Japan -1.540%——
Handicap — Sweden -0.537%——
Handicap — Japan -2.521%——
Handicap — Sweden +0.514%——
Handicap — Sweden +1.55%——
Handicap — Sweden +2.51%——