Belgium v Egypt
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Belgium v Egypt
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Belgium60%
Draw25%
Egypt17%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Belgium44%1.69—
Match Winner — Draw29%4.10—
Match Winner — Egypt27%6.40—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals50%1.90—
Over 2.5 goals50%2.08—
Over 2 goals—1.51—
Under 2 goals—2.65—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Belgium or Draw73%——
Double chance — Belgium or Egypt71%——
Draw no bet — Belgium62%——
Double chance — Egypt or Draw56%——
Belgium to win44%——
Draw no bet — Egypt38%——
Draw29%——
Egypt to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Under 2.5 goals50%——
Over 2.5 goals50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals28%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Egypt to score 136%——
Both score no draw35%——
Belgium to score 133%——
Egypt to score 032%——
Belgium clean sheet32%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Belgium to score 225%——
Belgium win to nil23%——
Belgium to score 022%——
Egypt clean sheet22%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 121%——
Egypt to score 221%——
Belgium to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 116%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 214%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Egypt win to nil13%——
Egypt to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 28%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 33%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 42%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 41%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals72%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%——
Belgium to win either half56%——
1st Half result — Draw45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
Egypt to win either half41%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%——
1st Half result — Belgium32%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal28%——
HT/FT Belgium / Belgium26%——
Belgium to score in both halves23%——
1st Half result — Egypt23%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%——
HT/FT Draw / Belgium16%——
HT/FT Egypt / Egypt16%——
Egypt to score in both halves15%——
Belgium to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Egypt11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%——
Egypt to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Egypt / Draw5%——
HT/FT Belgium / Draw5%——
HT/FT Egypt / Belgium2%——
HT/FT Belgium / Egypt2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Belgium +2.597%——
Handicap — Egypt -2.591%——
Handicap — Belgium +1.589%——
Handicap — Egypt -1.577%——
Handicap — Belgium +0.573%——
Handicap — Egypt -0.556%——
Handicap — Belgium -0.544%——
Handicap — Egypt +0.527%——
Handicap — Belgium -1.523%——
Handicap — Egypt +1.511%——
Handicap — Belgium -2.59%——
Handicap — Egypt +2.54%——