Iran v New Zealand
Back to board
Iran v New Zealand
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Iran53%
Draw28%
New Zealand20%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Iran44%1.89—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.60—
Match Winner — New Zealand28%5.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%2.42—
Under 2.5 goals47%1.66—
Over 2.25 goals—2.07—
Under 2.25 goals—1.83—
Over 2 goals—1.75—
Under 2 goals—2.17—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Iran or Draw72%——
Double chance — Iran or New Zealand72%——
Draw no bet — Iran61%——
Double chance — New Zealand or Draw56%——
Iran to win44%——
Draw no bet — New Zealand39%——
Draw28%——
New Zealand to win28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
New Zealand to score 136%——
Iran to score 133%——
New Zealand to score 030%——
Iran clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Iran to score 226%——
Iran win to nil22%——
New Zealand to score 222%——
Winning margin — Iran by 121%——
Iran to score 3+21%——
Iran to score 021%——
New Zealand clean sheet21%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 116%——
Winning margin — Iran by 214%——
Correct score 1-113%——
New Zealand win to nil13%——
New Zealand to score 3+12%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Iran by 36%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 33%——
Winning margin — Iran by 42%——
Winning margin — Iran by 5+1%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 41%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%——
Iran to win either half59%——
New Zealand to win either half44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%——
1st Half result — Iran34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%——
Iran to score in both halves29%——
HT/FT Iran / Iran28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — New Zealand25%——
New Zealand to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT New Zealand / New Zealand17%——
HT/FT Draw / Iran15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
Iran to win both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%——
HT/FT Draw / New Zealand11%——
New Zealand to win both halves6%——
HT/FT New Zealand / Draw5%——
HT/FT Iran / Draw5%——
HT/FT New Zealand / Iran3%——
HT/FT Iran / New Zealand2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Iran +2.596%——
Handicap — New Zealand -2.591%——
Handicap — Iran +1.588%——
Handicap — New Zealand -1.577%——
Handicap — Iran +0.572%——
Handicap — New Zealand -0.556%——
Handicap — Iran -0.544%——
Handicap — New Zealand +0.528%——
Handicap — Iran -1.523%——
Handicap — New Zealand +1.512%——
Handicap — Iran -2.59%——
Handicap — New Zealand +2.54%——