Belgium v Iran
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Belgium v Iran
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Belgium69%
Draw20%
Iran13%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Belgium37%1.44—
Match Winner — Iran34%9.00—
Match Winner — Draw29%4.90—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91—
Under 2.5 goals48%1.98—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Belgium or Iran71%——
Double chance — Belgium or Draw66%——
Double chance — Iran or Draw63%——
Draw no bet — Belgium53%——
Draw no bet — Iran48%——
Belgium to win38%——
Iran to win34%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Iran to score 135%——
Belgium to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Iran to score 026%——
Belgium clean sheet26%——
Belgium to score 224%——
Belgium to score 024%——
Iran clean sheet24%——
Iran to score 224%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 119%——
Belgium win to nil18%——
Winning margin — Iran by 118%——
Belgium to score 3+17%——
Iran win to nil16%——
Iran to score 3+15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 212%——
Winning margin — Iran by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Iran by 34%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 42%——
Winning margin — Iran by 41%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Iran by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Belgium to win either half53%——
Iran to win either half50%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Belgium30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
1st Half result — Iran28%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
Belgium to score in both halves24%——
HT/FT Belgium / Belgium23%——
Iran to score in both halves23%——
HT/FT Iran / Iran21%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / Belgium14%——
HT/FT Draw / Iran13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
Belgium to win both halves10%——
Iran to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Iran / Draw5%——
HT/FT Belgium / Draw5%——
HT/FT Iran / Belgium2%——
HT/FT Belgium / Iran2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Belgium +2.594%——
Handicap — Iran -2.593%——
Handicap — Belgium +1.584%——
Handicap — Iran -1.582%——
Handicap — Belgium +0.566%——
Handicap — Iran -0.563%——
Handicap — Belgium -0.538%——
Handicap — Iran +0.534%——
Handicap — Belgium -1.518%——
Handicap — Iran +1.516%——
Handicap — Belgium -2.57%——
Handicap — Iran +2.56%——