New Zealand v Egypt
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-22 · 01:00

New Zealand v Egypt

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.31 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
New Zealand21%
Draw26%
Egypt55%
$20,588 liquidity · $10,521 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Egypt36%1.80—
Match Winner — New Zealand34%5.40—
Match Winner — Draw29%3.90—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals50%1.74—
Over 2.5 goals50%2.32—
Over 2 goals—1.65—
Under 2 goals—2.12—
Over 2.25 goals—1.98—
Under 2.25 goals—1.85—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — New Zealand or Egypt71%——
Double chance — Egypt or Draw66%——
Double chance — New Zealand or Draw64%——
Draw no bet — Egypt51%——
Draw no bet — New Zealand49%——
Egypt to win36%——
New Zealand to win34%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Under 2.5 goals50%——
Over 2.5 goals50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals28%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
New Zealand to score 135%——
Both score no draw35%——
Egypt to score 135%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
New Zealand to score 027%——
Egypt clean sheet27%——
Egypt to score 026%——
New Zealand clean sheet26%——
Egypt to score 224%——
New Zealand to score 223%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 119%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 118%——
Egypt win to nil18%——
New Zealand win to nil17%——
Egypt to score 3+16%——
New Zealand to score 3+15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 211%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 210%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 34%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 34%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 41%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 41%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 5+0%——
Winning margin — Egypt by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals71%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%——
Egypt to win either half50%——
New Zealand to win either half48%——
1st Half result — Draw45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals29%——
1st Half result — Egypt28%——
Half with most goals — Equal28%——
1st Half result — New Zealand27%——
HT/FT Egypt / Egypt21%——
HT/FT New Zealand / New Zealand20%——
Egypt to score in both halves20%——
New Zealand to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%——
HT/FT Draw / Egypt14%——
HT/FT Draw / New Zealand13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%——
Egypt to win both halves9%——
New Zealand to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Egypt / Draw5%——
HT/FT New Zealand / Draw5%——
HT/FT New Zealand / Egypt2%——
HT/FT Egypt / New Zealand2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Egypt -2.594%——
Handicap — New Zealand +2.594%——
Handicap — Egypt -1.584%——
Handicap — New Zealand +1.583%——
Handicap — Egypt -0.566%——
Handicap — New Zealand +0.564%——
Handicap — Egypt +0.536%——
Handicap — New Zealand -0.534%——
Handicap — Egypt +1.517%——
Handicap — New Zealand -1.516%——
Handicap — Egypt +2.56%——
Handicap — New Zealand -2.56%——