New Zealand v Belgium
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New Zealand v Belgium
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
New Zealand9%
Draw16%
Belgium77%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Belgium46%1.32—
Match Winner — Draw27%6.00—
Match Winner — New Zealand26%10.75—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals55%1.68—
Under 2.5 goals45%2.20—
Over 2.75 goals—1.90—
Under 2.75 goals—1.99—
Over 3 goals—2.06—
Under 3 goals—1.68—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Belgium or Draw74%——
Double chance — New Zealand or Belgium73%——
Draw no bet — Belgium64%——
Double chance — New Zealand or Draw54%——
Belgium to win46%——
Draw no bet — New Zealand36%——
Draw27%——
New Zealand to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No41%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
New Zealand to score 136%——
Belgium to score 132%——
New Zealand to score 030%——
Belgium clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Belgium to score 226%——
Belgium to score 3+23%——
Belgium win to nil23%——
New Zealand to score 222%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 121%——
Belgium to score 019%——
New Zealand clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 115%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 215%——
Correct score 1-113%——
New Zealand to score 3+12%——
New Zealand win to nil12%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 37%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 0-34%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 33%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 43%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 5+1%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 41%——
Winning margin — New Zealand by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals84%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
Belgium to win either half63%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals60%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
New Zealand to win either half44%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals40%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
1st Half result — Belgium37%——
Belgium to score in both halves35%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
HT/FT Belgium / Belgium30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
1st Half result — New Zealand24%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
New Zealand to score in both halves23%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals16%——
HT/FT New Zealand / New Zealand16%——
HT/FT Draw / Belgium16%——
Belgium to win both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / New Zealand10%——
New Zealand to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Belgium / Draw5%——
HT/FT New Zealand / Draw5%——
HT/FT New Zealand / Belgium3%——
HT/FT Belgium / New Zealand2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Belgium -2.596%——
Handicap — New Zealand +2.589%——
Handicap — Belgium -1.589%——
Handicap — New Zealand +1.575%——
Handicap — Belgium -0.574%——
Handicap — New Zealand +0.554%——
Handicap — Belgium +0.546%——
Handicap — New Zealand -0.527%——
Handicap — Belgium +1.525%——
Handicap — New Zealand -1.512%——
Handicap — Belgium +2.511%——
Handicap — New Zealand -2.54%——