Spain v Cape Verde Islands
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Spain v Cape Verde Islands
Recommended bet
Spain or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge—
Odds1.17 1/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Spain92%
Draw7%
Cape Verde Islands3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Spain62%1.12—
Match Winner — Draw24%14.00—
Match Winner — Cape Verde Islands14%40.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals70%2.00—
Over 2.5 goals52%1.37—
Under 2.5 goals48%3.15—
Over 3.5 goals30%2.02—
Over 4 goals—2.50—
Under 4 goals—1.50—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Spain or Draw86%——
Draw no bet — Spain81%——
Double chance — Spain or Cape Verde Islands76%——
Spain to win62%——
Double chance — Cape Verde Islands or Draw38%——
Draw24%——
Draw no bet — Cape Verde Islands19%——
Cape Verde Islands to win14%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
BTTS — No50%——
BTTS — Yes50%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Cape Verde Islands to score 043%——
Spain clean sheet43%——
Cape Verde Islands to score 136%——
Spain win to nil36%——
Both score no draw33%——
Spain to score 3+30%——
Spain to score 128%——
Spain to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw24%——
Winning margin — Spain by 124%——
Winning margin — Spain by 219%——
Cape Verde Islands to score 215%——
Spain to score 015%——
Cape Verde Islands clean sheet15%——
Correct score 2-012%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Winning margin — Spain by 311%——
Correct score 1-011%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 110%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 3-08%——
Cape Verde Islands win to nil7%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Cape Verde Islands to score 3+5%——
Winning margin — Spain by 45%——
Correct score 1-24%——
Correct score 2-24%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 24%——
Winning margin — Spain by 5+3%——
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 31%——
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 40%——
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
Spain to win either half72%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
1st Half result — Spain45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
HT/FT Spain / Spain40%——
Spain to score in both halves36%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Cape Verde Islands to win either half29%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
Spain to win both halves22%——
HT/FT Draw / Spain20%——
1st Half result — Cape Verde Islands15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
Cape Verde Islands to score in both halves11%——
HT/FT Cape Verde Islands / Cape Verde Islands9%——
HT/FT Draw / Cape Verde Islands6%——
HT/FT Cape Verde Islands / Draw4%——
HT/FT Spain / Draw4%——
HT/FT Cape Verde Islands / Spain3%——
Cape Verde Islands to win both halves2%——
HT/FT Spain / Cape Verde Islands1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Spain +2.599%——
Handicap — Spain +1.595%——
Handicap — Spain +0.586%——
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands -2.581%——
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands -1.562%——
Handicap — Spain -0.562%——
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands -0.538%——
Handicap — Spain -1.538%——
Handicap — Spain -2.519%——
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands +0.514%——
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands +1.55%——
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands +2.51%——