Saudi Arabia v Uruguay
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-15 · 22:00

Saudi Arabia v Uruguay

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge—
Odds1.33 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Saudi Arabia12%
Draw22%
Uruguay69%
$288,673 liquidity · $91,581 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Uruguay45%1.47—
Match Winner — Draw29%4.70—
Match Winner — Saudi Arabia26%8.80—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals54%1.89—
Over 2.5 goals46%2.08—
Over 3 goals—2.80—
Under 3 goals—1.43—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Uruguay or Draw74%——
Double chance — Saudi Arabia or Uruguay71%——
Draw no bet — Uruguay63%——
Double chance — Saudi Arabia or Draw55%——
Uruguay to win45%——
Draw no bet — Saudi Arabia37%——
Draw30%——
Saudi Arabia to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals75%——
Over 1.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — No48%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%——
Under 1.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%——
Over 3.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Saudi Arabia to score 137%——
Saudi Arabia to score 035%——
Uruguay clean sheet35%——
Uruguay to score 134%——
Both score no draw32%——
Winning margin — Draw30%——
Uruguay win to nil25%——
Uruguay to score 225%——
Uruguay to score 023%——
Saudi Arabia clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Uruguay by 122%——
Saudi Arabia to score 220%——
Uruguay to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 116%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Uruguay by 214%——
Saudi Arabia win to nil14%——
Correct score 0-110%——
Correct score 0-010%——
Saudi Arabia to score 3+9%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-29%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 27%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Winning margin — Uruguay by 36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 32%——
Winning margin — Uruguay by 42%——
Winning margin — Uruguay by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 41%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals95%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals79%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals57%——
Uruguay to win either half52%——
1st Half result — Draw51%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd39%——
Saudi Arabia to win either half37%——
Half with most goals — Equal32%——
1st Half result — Uruguay29%——
Half with most goals — 1st29%——
HT/FT Uruguay / Uruguay24%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw23%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals21%——
1st Half result — Saudi Arabia20%——
Uruguay to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Uruguay17%——
HT/FT Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabia14%——
HT/FT Draw / Saudi Arabia11%——
Saudi Arabia to score in both halves11%——
Uruguay to win both halves10%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals5%——
Saudi Arabia to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Uruguay / Draw4%——
HT/FT Saudi Arabia / Draw4%——
HT/FT Saudi Arabia / Uruguay2%——
HT/FT Uruguay / Saudi Arabia1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Uruguay -2.597%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia +2.591%——
Handicap — Uruguay -1.590%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia +1.577%——
Handicap — Uruguay -0.574%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia +0.555%——
Handicap — Uruguay +0.545%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia -0.526%——
Handicap — Uruguay +1.523%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia -1.511%——
Handicap — Uruguay +2.59%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia -2.53%——