Spain v Saudi Arabia
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-21 · 16:00

Spain v Saudi Arabia

Recommended bet
Spain or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge—
Odds1.16 2/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Spain88%
Draw9%
Saudi Arabia4%
$17,280 liquidity · $36,434 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Spain62%1.13—
Match Winner — Draw24%12.20—
Match Winner — Saudi Arabia14%34.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals71%1.68—
Over 2.5 goals52%1.44—
Under 2.5 goals48%2.50—
Over 3.5 goals29%2.22—
Over 3 goals—1.78—
Under 3 goals—2.20—
Over 3.25 goals—1.98—
Under 3.25 goals—1.85—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Spain or Draw86%——
Draw no bet — Spain82%——
Double chance — Spain or Saudi Arabia76%——
Spain to win62%——
Double chance — Saudi Arabia or Draw38%——
Draw24%——
Draw no bet — Saudi Arabia18%——
Saudi Arabia to win14%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
BTTS — No51%——
BTTS — Yes49%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Saudi Arabia to score 044%——
Spain clean sheet44%——
Spain win to nil37%——
Saudi Arabia to score 136%——
Both score no draw33%——
Spain to score 3+30%——
Spain to score 128%——
Spain to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw24%——
Winning margin — Spain by 124%——
Winning margin — Spain by 220%——
Spain to score 015%——
Saudi Arabia to score 215%——
Saudi Arabia clean sheet15%——
Correct score 2-012%——
Correct score 1-111%——
Correct score 1-011%——
Winning margin — Spain by 311%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 19%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 3-08%——
Saudi Arabia win to nil7%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Winning margin — Spain by 45%——
Saudi Arabia to score 3+5%——
Correct score 1-24%——
Correct score 2-24%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 24%——
Winning margin — Spain by 5+3%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 31%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 40%——
Winning margin — Saudi Arabia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
Spain to win either half72%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%——
1st Half result — Spain45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
HT/FT Spain / Spain40%——
Spain to score in both halves35%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Saudi Arabia to win either half28%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
Spain to win both halves22%——
HT/FT Draw / Spain20%——
1st Half result — Saudi Arabia15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
Saudi Arabia to score in both halves10%——
HT/FT Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabia8%——
HT/FT Draw / Saudi Arabia6%——
HT/FT Saudi Arabia / Draw4%——
HT/FT Spain / Draw4%——
HT/FT Saudi Arabia / Spain3%——
Saudi Arabia to win both halves2%——
HT/FT Spain / Saudi Arabia1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Spain +2.599%——
Handicap — Spain +1.596%——
Handicap — Spain +0.586%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia -2.581%——
Handicap — Spain -0.562%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia -1.562%——
Handicap — Spain -1.539%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia -0.538%——
Handicap — Spain -2.519%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia +0.514%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia +1.55%——
Handicap — Saudi Arabia +2.51%——