Uruguay v Cape Verde Islands
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-21 · 22:00

Uruguay v Cape Verde Islands

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.34 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Uruguay70%
Draw21%
Cape Verde Islands12%
$21,072 liquidity · $15,417 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Uruguay44%1.49
Match Winner — Draw29%4.75
Match Winner — Cape Verde Islands27%8.25
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals53%1.94
Over 2.5 goals47%2.02
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Uruguay or Draw73%
Double chance — Uruguay or Cape Verde Islands71%
Draw no bet — Uruguay62%
Double chance — Cape Verde Islands or Draw56%
Uruguay to win44%
Draw no bet — Cape Verde Islands38%
Draw30%
Cape Verde Islands to win27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 2.5 goals53%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals26%
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Cape Verde Islands to score 137%
Uruguay to score 134%
Cape Verde Islands to score 034%
Uruguay clean sheet34%
Both score no draw33%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Uruguay to score 225%
Uruguay win to nil24%
Uruguay to score 023%
Cape Verde Islands clean sheet23%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 122%
Cape Verde Islands to score 220%
Uruguay to score 3+18%
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 116%
Correct score 1-114%
Cape Verde Islands win to nil14%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 214%
Correct score 1-010%
Cape Verde Islands to score 3+10%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-08%
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 28%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 33%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 42%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 5+1%
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 41%
Winning margin — Cape Verde Islands by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals94%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals78%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals58%
Uruguay to win either half52%
1st Half result — Draw50%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals42%
Half with most goals — 2nd40%
Cape Verde Islands to win either half39%
Half with most goals — Equal31%
1st Half result — Uruguay29%
Half with most goals — 1st29%
HT/FT Uruguay / Uruguay24%
HT/FT Draw / Draw22%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals22%
1st Half result — Cape Verde Islands21%
Uruguay to score in both halves18%
HT/FT Draw / Uruguay16%
HT/FT Cape Verde Islands / Cape Verde Islands15%
Cape Verde Islands to score in both halves11%
HT/FT Draw / Cape Verde Islands11%
Uruguay to win both halves10%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals6%
Cape Verde Islands to win both halves5%
HT/FT Cape Verde Islands / Draw4%
HT/FT Uruguay / Draw4%
HT/FT Cape Verde Islands / Uruguay2%
HT/FT Uruguay / Cape Verde Islands1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Uruguay +2.597%
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands -2.591%
Handicap — Uruguay +1.589%
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands -1.578%
Handicap — Uruguay +0.573%
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands -0.556%
Handicap — Uruguay -0.544%
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands +0.527%
Handicap — Uruguay -1.522%
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands +1.511%
Handicap — Uruguay -2.59%
Handicap — Cape Verde Islands +2.53%