France v Senegal
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France v Senegal
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
France67%
Draw22%
Senegal13%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Senegal38%8.20—
Match Winner — France33%1.51—
Match Winner — Draw29%4.60—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals51%1.96—
Over 2.5 goals49%2.02—
Over 2 goals—1.48—
Under 2 goals—2.75—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — France or Senegal71%——
Double chance — Senegal or Draw67%——
Double chance — France or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Senegal54%——
Draw no bet — France46%——
Senegal to win38%——
France to win33%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Under 2.5 goals51%——
Over 2.5 goals50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals28%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
France to score 136%——
Both score no draw35%——
Senegal to score 135%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
France to score 028%——
Senegal clean sheet28%——
Senegal to score 025%——
France clean sheet25%——
Senegal to score 224%——
France to score 223%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 120%——
Senegal win to nil19%——
Winning margin — France by 118%——
France win to nil16%——
Senegal to score 3+16%——
Correct score 1-114%——
France to score 3+14%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 212%——
Winning margin — France by 210%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — France by 34%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 42%——
Winning margin — France by 41%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 5+1%——
Winning margin — France by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals72%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%——
Senegal to win either half51%——
France to win either half47%——
1st Half result — Draw46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
1st Half result — Senegal29%——
Half with most goals — Equal28%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals28%——
1st Half result — France26%——
HT/FT Senegal / Senegal22%——
Senegal to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT France / France19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw19%——
France to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Senegal14%——
HT/FT Draw / France13%——
Senegal to win both halves9%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%——
France to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Senegal / Draw5%——
HT/FT France / Draw5%——
HT/FT France / Senegal2%——
HT/FT Senegal / France2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Senegal -2.595%——
Handicap — France +2.593%——
Handicap — Senegal -1.585%——
Handicap — France +1.582%——
Handicap — Senegal -0.567%——
Handicap — France +0.562%——
Handicap — Senegal +0.538%——
Handicap — France -0.533%——
Handicap — Senegal +1.518%——
Handicap — France -1.515%——
Handicap — Senegal +2.57%——
Handicap — France -2.55%——