Iraq v Norway
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Iraq v Norway
Recommended bet
Norway or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Iraq7%
Draw14%
Norway82%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Norway51%1.25—
Match Winner — Draw27%7.60—
Match Winner — Iraq22%19.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals70%1.61—
Over 2.5 goals52%1.60—
Under 2.5 goals48%2.42—
Over 3.5 goals30%2.45—
Over 3 goals—1.96—
Under 3 goals—1.98—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Norway or Draw78%——
Double chance — Iraq or Norway73%——
Draw no bet — Norway70%——
Norway to win51%——
Double chance — Iraq or Draw49%——
Draw no bet — Iraq30%——
Draw27%——
Iraq to win22%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Iraq to score 137%——
Both score no draw36%——
Iraq to score 035%——
Norway clean sheet35%——
Norway to score 131%——
Norway win to nil27%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Norway to score 226%——
Norway to score 3+25%——
Winning margin — Norway by 123%——
Iraq to score 219%——
Norway to score 018%——
Iraq clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — Norway by 216%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 113%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Iraq win to nil10%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 0-29%——
Iraq to score 3+9%——
Winning margin — Norway by 38%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 26%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 0-35%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Norway by 43%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 32%——
Winning margin — Norway by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 40%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
Norway to win either half64%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half result — Norway38%——
Iraq to win either half37%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
HT/FT Norway / Norway32%——
Norway to score in both halves31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Iraq20%——
HT/FT Draw / Norway17%——
Norway to win both halves16%——
Iraq to score in both halves16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
HT/FT Iraq / Iraq13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Iraq9%——
HT/FT Norway / Draw5%——
HT/FT Iraq / Draw5%——
Iraq to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Iraq / Norway3%——
HT/FT Norway / Iraq1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Norway -2.598%——
Handicap — Norway -1.592%——
Handicap — Iraq +2.587%——
Handicap — Norway -0.578%——
Handicap — Iraq +1.571%——
Handicap — Norway +0.551%——
Handicap — Iraq +0.549%——
Handicap — Norway +1.529%——
Handicap — Iraq -0.522%——
Handicap — Norway +2.513%——
Handicap — Iraq -1.59%——
Handicap — Iraq -2.52%——