Norway v Senegal
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Norway v Senegal
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Norway45%
Draw28%
Senegal28%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Senegal39%3.51—
Match Winner — Norway32%2.24—
Match Winner — Draw29%3.60—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals51%1.99—
Under 2.5 goals49%1.88—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Norway or Senegal71%——
Double chance — Senegal or Draw68%——
Double chance — Norway or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — Senegal55%——
Draw no bet — Norway45%——
Senegal to win39%——
Norway to win32%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw36%——
Norway to score 136%——
Senegal to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Norway to score 027%——
Senegal clean sheet27%——
Senegal to score 225%——
Senegal to score 024%——
Norway clean sheet24%——
Norway to score 223%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 120%——
Senegal win to nil19%——
Senegal to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Norway by 118%——
Norway win to nil16%——
Norway to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 212%——
Winning margin — Norway by 210%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Norway by 34%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 42%——
Winning margin — Norway by 41%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Norway by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%——
Senegal to win either half54%——
Norway to win either half48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Senegal31%——
1st Half result — Norway27%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
Senegal to score in both halves24%——
HT/FT Senegal / Senegal24%——
Norway to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT Norway / Norway19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / Senegal14%——
HT/FT Draw / Norway12%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
Senegal to win both halves10%——
Norway to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Senegal / Draw5%——
HT/FT Norway / Draw5%——
HT/FT Norway / Senegal2%——
HT/FT Senegal / Norway2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Senegal -2.595%——
Handicap — Norway +2.593%——
Handicap — Senegal -1.585%——
Handicap — Norway +1.581%——
Handicap — Senegal -0.568%——
Handicap — Norway +0.561%——
Handicap — Senegal +0.539%——
Handicap — Norway -0.532%——
Handicap — Senegal +1.519%——
Handicap — Norway -1.515%——
Handicap — Senegal +2.57%——
Handicap — Norway -2.55%——