Norway v France
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Norway v France
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Norway23%
Draw27%
France53%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — France37%1.87—
Match Winner — Norway35%4.40—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.75—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals55%2.02—
Under 2.5 goals45%1.87—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Norway or France72%——
Double chance — France or Draw65%——
Double chance — Norway or Draw63%——
Draw no bet — France51%——
Draw no bet — Norway49%——
France to win37%——
Norway to win35%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Norway to score 134%——
France to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
France to score 225%——
Norway to score 224%——
Norway to score 024%——
France clean sheet24%——
France to score 023%——
Norway clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — France by 119%——
Winning margin — Norway by 118%——
France to score 3+18%——
Norway to score 3+17%——
France win to nil17%——
Norway win to nil16%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — France by 211%——
Winning margin — Norway by 211%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Winning margin — France by 35%——
Winning margin — Norway by 34%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — France by 42%——
Winning margin — Norway by 41%——
Winning margin — Norway by 5+1%——
Winning margin — France by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals84%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals60%——
France to win either half54%——
Norway to win either half53%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals40%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half result — France31%——
1st Half result — Norway30%——
France to score in both halves29%——
Norway to score in both halves28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT France / France23%——
HT/FT Norway / Norway22%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / France13%——
HT/FT Draw / Norway13%——
France to win both halves10%——
Norway to win both halves10%——
HT/FT France / Draw5%——
HT/FT Norway / Draw5%——
HT/FT France / Norway3%——
HT/FT Norway / France3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — France -2.594%——
Handicap — Norway +2.593%——
Handicap — France -1.583%——
Handicap — Norway +1.582%——
Handicap — France -0.565%——
Handicap — Norway +0.563%——
Handicap — France +0.537%——
Handicap — Norway -0.535%——
Handicap — France +1.518%——
Handicap — Norway -1.517%——
Handicap — France +2.57%——
Handicap — Norway -2.56%——