Senegal v Iraq
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Senegal v Iraq
Recommended bet
Senegal or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge—
Odds1.24 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Senegal70%
Draw21%
Iraq11%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Senegal53%1.45—
Match Winner — Draw27%4.75—
Match Winner — Iraq19%8.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals53%1.98—
Over 2.5 goals47%1.93—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Senegal or Draw81%——
Draw no bet — Senegal74%——
Double chance — Senegal or Iraq73%——
Senegal to win53%——
Double chance — Iraq or Draw47%——
Draw27%——
Draw no bet — Iraq26%——
Iraq to win19%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals88%——
Over 1.5 goals74%——
Under 3.5 goals74%——
Under 2.5 goals53%——
BTTS — Yes50%——
BTTS — No50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Over 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%——
Under 1.5 goals26%——
Over 3.5 goals26%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 4.5 goals12%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Iraq to score 040%——
Senegal clean sheet40%——
Iraq to score 137%——
Both score no draw32%——
Senegal to score 132%——
Senegal win to nil31%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Senegal to score 226%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 124%——
Senegal to score 3+23%——
Senegal to score 019%——
Iraq clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 217%——
Iraq to score 217%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 112%——
Correct score 1-011%——
Correct score 2-011%——
Iraq win to nil10%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 38%——
Iraq to score 3+7%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 25%——
Correct score 2-24%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 43%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 31%——
Winning margin — Senegal by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 40%——
Winning margin — Iraq by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals94%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals77%——
Senegal to win either half61%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals60%——
1st Half result — Draw48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd40%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals40%——
1st Half result — Senegal35%——
Iraq to win either half32%——
Half with most goals — Equal30%——
HT/FT Senegal / Senegal30%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals23%——
Senegal to score in both halves23%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw21%——
HT/FT Draw / Senegal19%——
1st Half result — Iraq17%——
Senegal to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Iraq / Iraq11%——
Iraq to score in both halves9%——
HT/FT Draw / Iraq9%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals7%——
HT/FT Iraq / Draw4%——
HT/FT Senegal / Draw4%——
Iraq to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Iraq / Senegal2%——
HT/FT Senegal / Iraq1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Senegal +2.598%——
Handicap — Senegal +1.593%——
Handicap — Iraq -2.587%——
Handicap — Senegal +0.581%——
Handicap — Iraq -1.570%——
Handicap — Senegal -0.553%——
Handicap — Iraq -0.547%——
Handicap — Senegal -1.530%——
Handicap — Iraq +0.519%——
Handicap — Senegal -2.513%——
Handicap — Iraq +1.57%——
Handicap — Iraq +2.52%——