Portugal v Congo DR
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Portugal v Congo DR
Recommended bet
Portugal or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Portugal77%
Draw17%
Congo DR8%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Portugal49%1.32—
Match Winner — Draw28%6.00—
Match Winner — Congo DR23%12.50—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals51%2.26—
Over 2.5 goals49%1.77—
Over 2.75 goals—1.93—
Under 2.75 goals—1.96—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Portugal or Draw77%——
Double chance — Portugal or Congo DR72%——
Draw no bet — Portugal69%——
Double chance — Congo DR or Draw51%——
Portugal to win49%——
Draw no bet — Congo DR31%——
Draw28%——
Congo DR to win23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals75%——
Under 3.5 goals73%——
BTTS — Yes53%——
Under 2.5 goals51%——
Over 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%——
Over 3.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%——
Under 1.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Congo DR to score 137%——
Congo DR to score 036%——
Portugal clean sheet36%——
Both score no draw33%——
Portugal to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Portugal win to nil27%——
Portugal to score 226%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 123%——
Portugal to score 3+22%——
Portugal to score 020%——
Congo DR clean sheet20%——
Congo DR to score 219%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 216%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 114%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Congo DR win to nil11%——
Correct score 1-010%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Congo DR to score 3+8%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 37%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 26%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 43%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 32%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 41%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals92%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals74%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals63%——
Portugal to win either half59%——
1st Half result — Draw46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd41%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals37%——
Congo DR to win either half36%——
1st Half result — Portugal34%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
Half with most goals — Equal29%——
HT/FT Portugal / Portugal29%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals26%——
Portugal to score in both halves24%——
1st Half result — Congo DR20%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw19%——
HT/FT Draw / Portugal18%——
Portugal to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Congo DR / Congo DR13%——
Congo DR to score in both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Congo DR10%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals8%——
HT/FT Congo DR / Draw5%——
HT/FT Portugal / Draw5%——
Congo DR to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Congo DR / Portugal2%——
HT/FT Portugal / Congo DR1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Portugal +2.598%——
Handicap — Portugal +1.591%——
Handicap — Congo DR -2.589%——
Handicap — Portugal +0.577%——
Handicap — Congo DR -1.573%——
Handicap — Congo DR -0.551%——
Handicap — Portugal -0.549%——
Handicap — Portugal -1.527%——
Handicap — Congo DR +0.523%——
Handicap — Portugal -2.511%——
Handicap — Congo DR +1.59%——
Handicap — Congo DR +2.53%——