Portugal v Uzbekistan
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-23 · 17:00

Portugal v Uzbekistan

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
Best price at GTbetsMed
Win probability71%
Implied (with margin)64%
Model edge+11.9%
Odds1.57 4/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Portugal80%
Draw14%
Uzbekistan8%
$18,677 liquidity · $25,324 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Portugal47%1.27
Match Winner — Draw28%6.95
Match Winner — Uzbekistan25%13.00
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals71%1.57
Over 2.5 goals51%1.55
Under 2.5 goals49%2.50
Over 3.5 goals29%2.36
Over 3 goals1.89
Under 3 goals1.96
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Portugal or Draw75%
Double chance — Portugal or Uzbekistan72%
Draw no bet — Portugal65%
Double chance — Uzbekistan or Draw53%
Portugal to win47%
Draw no bet — Uzbekistan35%
Draw28%
Uzbekistan to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals71%
BTTS — Yes55%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Under 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%
Under 1.5 goals23%
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%
Over 4.5 goals14%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Uzbekistan to score 137%
Both score no draw35%
Uzbekistan to score 033%
Portugal clean sheet33%
Portugal to score 132%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Portugal to score 226%
Portugal win to nil25%
Winning margin — Portugal by 122%
Portugal to score 3+21%
Portugal to score 020%
Uzbekistan to score 220%
Uzbekistan clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Uzbekistan by 115%
Winning margin — Portugal by 215%
Correct score 1-113%
Uzbekistan win to nil12%
Uzbekistan to score 3+10%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 2-09%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Uzbekistan by 27%
Winning margin — Portugal by 37%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — Portugal by 43%
Winning margin — Uzbekistan by 32%
Winning margin — Portugal by 5+1%
Winning margin — Uzbekistan by 41%
Winning margin — Uzbekistan by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%
Portugal to win either half60%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Uzbekistan to win either half40%
1st Half result — Portugal35%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Portugal / Portugal28%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
Portugal to score in both halves27%
1st Half result — Uzbekistan22%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Portugal17%
Uzbekistan to score in both halves16%
HT/FT Uzbekistan / Uzbekistan15%
Portugal to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%
HT/FT Draw / Uzbekistan10%
Uzbekistan to win both halves5%
HT/FT Uzbekistan / Draw5%
HT/FT Portugal / Draw5%
HT/FT Uzbekistan / Portugal2%
HT/FT Portugal / Uzbekistan2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Portugal +2.597%
Handicap — Uzbekistan -2.590%
Handicap — Portugal +1.590%
Handicap — Uzbekistan -1.575%
Handicap — Portugal +0.575%
Handicap — Uzbekistan -0.553%
Handicap — Portugal -0.547%
Handicap — Portugal -1.525%
Handicap — Uzbekistan +0.525%
Handicap — Portugal -2.510%
Handicap — Uzbekistan +1.510%
Handicap — Uzbekistan +2.53%