Colombia v Congo DR
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Colombia v Congo DR
Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge—
Odds1.33 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Colombia67%
Draw22%
Congo DR13%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Colombia39%1.53—
Match Winner — Congo DR31%8.40—
Match Winner — Draw30%4.50—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals54%1.74—
Over 2.5 goals46%2.21—
Over 2.25 goals—1.91—
Under 2.25 goals—1.91—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Colombia or Congo DR70%——
Double chance — Colombia or Draw69%——
Double chance — Congo DR or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — Colombia56%——
Draw no bet — Congo DR44%——
Colombia to win39%——
Congo DR to win31%——
Draw30%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals75%——
Over 1.5 goals74%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — No47%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%——
Under 1.5 goals26%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%——
Over 3.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Congo DR to score 136%——
Colombia to score 135%——
Both score no draw33%——
Congo DR to score 031%——
Colombia clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw30%——
Colombia to score 026%——
Congo DR clean sheet26%——
Colombia to score 224%——
Congo DR to score 221%——
Colombia win to nil21%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 120%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 117%——
Congo DR win to nil16%——
Colombia to score 3+16%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 212%——
Congo DR to score 3+12%——
Correct score 0-010%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 29%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 33%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 42%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 41%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Congo DR by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals94%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals79%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals58%——
1st Half result — Draw51%——
Colombia to win either half49%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals42%——
Congo DR to win either half42%——
Half with most goals — 2nd39%——
Half with most goals — Equal32%——
Half with most goals — 1st29%——
1st Half result — Colombia27%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw23%——
1st Half result — Congo DR23%——
HT/FT Colombia / Colombia21%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals21%——
HT/FT Congo DR / Congo DR17%——
Colombia to score in both halves16%——
HT/FT Draw / Colombia15%——
Congo DR to score in both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Congo DR13%——
Colombia to win both halves8%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals6%——
Congo DR to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Congo DR / Draw4%——
HT/FT Colombia / Draw4%——
HT/FT Congo DR / Colombia1%——
HT/FT Colombia / Congo DR1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Colombia +2.596%——
Handicap — Congo DR -2.593%——
Handicap — Colombia +1.587%——
Handicap — Congo DR -1.581%——
Handicap — Colombia +0.569%——
Handicap — Congo DR -0.561%——
Handicap — Colombia -0.539%——
Handicap — Congo DR +0.531%——
Handicap — Colombia -1.519%——
Handicap — Congo DR +1.513%——
Handicap — Colombia -2.57%——
Handicap — Congo DR +2.54%——