Colombia v Portugal
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Colombia v Portugal
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Colombia28%
Draw28%
Portugal47%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Portugal45%2.20—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.40—
Match Winner — Colombia27%3.70—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals52%2.10—
Under 2.5 goals48%1.77—
Over 2.25 goals—1.87—
Under 2.25 goals—1.99—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Portugal or Draw74%——
Double chance — Colombia or Portugal72%——
Draw no bet — Portugal63%——
Double chance — Colombia or Draw55%——
Portugal to win45%——
Draw no bet — Colombia37%——
Draw28%——
Colombia to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Colombia to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
Portugal to score 133%——
Colombia to score 031%——
Portugal clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Portugal to score 226%——
Portugal win to nil23%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 121%——
Colombia to score 221%——
Portugal to score 3+21%——
Portugal to score 021%——
Colombia clean sheet21%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 115%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 214%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Colombia win to nil13%——
Colombia to score 3+11%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 28%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 37%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 2-04%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 33%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 42%——
Winning margin — Portugal by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 41%——
Winning margin — Colombia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
Portugal to win either half59%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
Colombia to win either half42%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half result — Portugal35%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
HT/FT Portugal / Portugal28%——
Portugal to score in both halves28%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Colombia23%——
Colombia to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Portugal16%——
HT/FT Colombia / Colombia16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
Portugal to win both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Colombia11%——
Colombia to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Portugal / Draw5%——
HT/FT Colombia / Draw5%——
HT/FT Colombia / Portugal3%——
HT/FT Portugal / Colombia2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Portugal -2.597%——
Handicap — Colombia +2.590%——
Handicap — Portugal -1.589%——
Handicap — Colombia +1.576%——
Handicap — Portugal -0.574%——
Handicap — Colombia +0.555%——
Handicap — Portugal +0.545%——
Handicap — Colombia -0.527%——
Handicap — Portugal +1.524%——
Handicap — Colombia -1.511%——
Handicap — Portugal +2.510%——
Handicap — Colombia -2.54%——