England v Ghana
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England v Ghana
Recommended bet
England or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge—
Odds1.16 2/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
England75%
Draw17%
Ghana10%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — England62%1.36—
Match Winner — Draw24%6.00—
Match Winner — Ghana14%11.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals51%1.70—
Under 2.5 goals49%2.28—
Over 3 goals—2.11—
Under 3 goals—1.83—
Over 2.75 goals—1.87—
Under 2.75 goals—1.95—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — England or Draw86%——
Draw no bet — England82%——
Double chance — England or Ghana76%——
England to win62%——
Double chance — Ghana or Draw38%——
Draw24%——
Draw no bet — Ghana18%——
Ghana to win14%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — No52%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
BTTS — Yes48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Ghana to score 045%——
England clean sheet45%——
England win to nil37%——
Ghana to score 136%——
Both score no draw32%——
England to score 3+30%——
England to score 128%——
England to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw24%——
Winning margin — England by 124%——
Winning margin — England by 220%——
England to score 015%——
Ghana clean sheet15%——
Ghana to score 214%——
Correct score 2-012%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Correct score 1-012%——
Winning margin — England by 311%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 19%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 3-08%——
Ghana win to nil7%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Winning margin — England by 45%——
Ghana to score 3+5%——
Correct score 1-24%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Correct score 2-24%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 23%——
Winning margin — England by 5+3%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 31%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 40%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
England to win either half71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%——
1st Half result — England44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
HT/FT England / England39%——
England to score in both halves34%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Ghana to win either half27%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
England to win both halves21%——
HT/FT Draw / England20%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
1st Half result — Ghana14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%——
Ghana to score in both halves9%——
HT/FT Ghana / Ghana8%——
HT/FT Draw / Ghana6%——
HT/FT Ghana / Draw4%——
HT/FT England / Draw4%——
HT/FT Ghana / England2%——
Ghana to win both halves2%——
HT/FT England / Ghana1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — England +2.599%——
Handicap — England +1.596%——
Handicap — England +0.586%——
Handicap — Ghana -2.581%——
Handicap — England -0.562%——
Handicap — Ghana -1.562%——
Handicap — England -1.538%——
Handicap — Ghana -0.538%——
Handicap — England -2.519%——
Handicap — Ghana +0.514%——
Handicap — Ghana +1.54%——
Handicap — Ghana +2.51%——