Panama v Croatia
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-23 · 23:00

Panama v Croatia

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.27 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Panama14%
Draw24%
Croatia64%
$14,156 liquidity · $14,119 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Croatia45%1.57
Match Winner — Draw28%4.20
Match Winner — Panama27%7.20
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%2.06
Under 2.5 goals47%1.83
Over 2.25 goals1.82
Under 2.25 goals2.02
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Croatia or Draw73%
Double chance — Panama or Croatia72%
Draw no bet — Croatia62%
Double chance — Panama or Draw55%
Croatia to win45%
Draw no bet — Panama38%
Draw28%
Panama to win28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes57%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
BTTS — No43%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Panama to score 136%
Croatia to score 132%
Panama to score 030%
Croatia clean sheet30%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Croatia to score 226%
Croatia win to nil22%
Panama to score 222%
Croatia to score 3+22%
Winning margin — Croatia by 121%
Croatia to score 020%
Panama clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Panama by 116%
Winning margin — Croatia by 214%
Correct score 1-113%
Panama win to nil13%
Panama to score 3+12%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-18%
Winning margin — Panama by 28%
Correct score 0-28%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 2-17%
Winning margin — Croatia by 37%
Correct score 1-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 1-35%
Correct score 2-04%
Winning margin — Panama by 33%
Winning margin — Croatia by 42%
Winning margin — Croatia by 5+1%
Winning margin — Panama by 41%
Winning margin — Panama by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
Croatia to win either half60%
Panama to win either half44%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%
1st Half result — Croatia35%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Croatia to score in both halves30%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
HT/FT Croatia / Croatia28%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — Panama24%
Panama to score in both halves21%
HT/FT Panama / Panama17%
HT/FT Draw / Croatia16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
Croatia to win both halves14%
HT/FT Draw / Panama11%
Panama to win both halves6%
HT/FT Croatia / Draw5%
HT/FT Panama / Draw5%
HT/FT Panama / Croatia3%
HT/FT Croatia / Panama2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Croatia -2.596%
Handicap — Panama +2.590%
Handicap — Croatia -1.588%
Handicap — Panama +1.576%
Handicap — Croatia -0.573%
Handicap — Panama +0.555%
Handicap — Croatia +0.545%
Handicap — Panama -0.528%
Handicap — Croatia +1.524%
Handicap — Panama -1.512%
Handicap — Croatia +2.510%
Handicap — Panama -2.54%