Croatia v Ghana
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Croatia v Ghana
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Croatia60%
Draw26%
Ghana16%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Croatia47%1.74—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.90—
Match Winner — Ghana25%6.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals51%2.10—
Under 2.5 goals49%1.76—
Over 2.25 goals—1.85—
Under 2.25 goals—2.02—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Croatia or Draw75%——
Double chance — Croatia or Ghana72%——
Draw no bet — Croatia66%——
Double chance — Ghana or Draw53%——
Croatia to win47%——
Draw no bet — Ghana34%——
Draw28%——
Ghana to win25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Ghana to score 137%——
Both score no draw36%——
Ghana to score 033%——
Croatia clean sheet33%——
Croatia to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Croatia to score 226%——
Croatia win to nil25%——
Croatia to score 3+22%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 122%——
Ghana to score 220%——
Croatia to score 020%——
Ghana clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 215%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 115%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Ghana win to nil12%——
Ghana to score 3+10%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 27%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 37%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 43%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 32%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 41%——
Winning margin — Ghana by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%——
Croatia to win either half61%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
Ghana to win either half40%——
1st Half result — Croatia36%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT Croatia / Croatia29%——
Croatia to score in both halves28%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Ghana22%——
Ghana to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Croatia17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Ghana / Ghana15%——
Croatia to win both halves14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
HT/FT Draw / Ghana10%——
Ghana to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Ghana / Draw5%——
HT/FT Croatia / Draw5%——
HT/FT Ghana / Croatia3%——
HT/FT Croatia / Ghana2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Croatia +2.597%——
Handicap — Croatia +1.590%——
Handicap — Ghana -2.589%——
Handicap — Croatia +0.575%——
Handicap — Ghana -1.574%——
Handicap — Ghana -0.553%——
Handicap — Croatia -0.547%——
Handicap — Croatia -1.526%——
Handicap — Ghana +0.525%——
Handicap — Croatia -2.511%——
Handicap — Ghana +1.510%——
Handicap — Ghana +2.53%——