EC Bahia v Chapecoense AF
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Football·Campeonato Brasileiro Série A· 2026-07-17 · 23:30

EC Bahia v Chapecoense AF

Recommended bet
EC Bahia or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge
Odds1.23 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — EC Bahia or Draw81%
Draw no bet — EC Bahia74%
Double chance — EC Bahia or Chapecoense AF73%
EC Bahia to win54%
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or Draw46%
Draw27%
Draw no bet — Chapecoense AF26%
Chapecoense AF to win19%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals88%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals74%
Under 2.5 goals52%
BTTS — Yes50%
BTTS — No50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Over 2.5 goals48%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals25%
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Chapecoense AF to score 040%
EC Bahia clean sheet40%
Chapecoense AF to score 137%
Both score no draw32%
EC Bahia to score 131%
EC Bahia win to nil31%
Winning margin — Draw27%
EC Bahia to score 226%
EC Bahia to score 3+24%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 124%
EC Bahia to score 019%
Chapecoense AF clean sheet19%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 217%
Chapecoense AF to score 217%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 112%
Correct score 1-011%
Correct score 2-011%
Chapecoense AF win to nil10%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 0-09%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 39%
Chapecoense AF to score 3+7%
Correct score 3-06%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 1-25%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 25%
Correct score 2-24%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 43%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 31%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 5+1%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 40%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%
EC Bahia to win either half65%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd42%
1st Half result — EC Bahia39%
Chapecoense AF to win either half34%
HT/FT EC Bahia / EC Bahia33%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%
EC Bahia to score in both halves30%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT Draw / EC Bahia19%
1st Half result — Chapecoense AF18%
EC Bahia to win both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
Chapecoense AF to score in both halves12%
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Chapecoense AF11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%
HT/FT Draw / Chapecoense AF8%
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Draw4%
HT/FT EC Bahia / Draw4%
Chapecoense AF to win both halves3%
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / EC Bahia2%
HT/FT EC Bahia / Chapecoense AF1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — EC Bahia +2.598%
Handicap — EC Bahia +1.593%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -2.587%
Handicap — EC Bahia +0.581%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -1.570%
Handicap — EC Bahia -0.554%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -0.546%
Handicap — EC Bahia -1.530%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +0.519%
Handicap — EC Bahia -2.513%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +1.57%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +2.52%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Luciano Juba (EC Bahia)38%
Anytime scorer — Everaldo (EC Bahia)23%
Anytime scorer — Willian José (EC Bahia)17%
Anytime scorer — Walter Clar (Chapecoense AF)13%