São Paulo FC v Santos FC
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Football·Campeonato Brasileiro Série A· 2026-10-02 · 23:00

São Paulo FC v Santos FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.29 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 106 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Draw75%
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Santos FC72%
Draw no bet — São Paulo FC66%
Double chance — Santos FC or Draw52%
São Paulo FC to win48%
Draw no bet — Santos FC34%
Draw28%
Santos FC to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals71%
BTTS — Yes55%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%
Under 1.5 goals23%
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%
Over 4.5 goals14%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Santos FC to score 137%
Both score no draw36%
Santos FC to score 033%
São Paulo FC clean sheet33%
São Paulo FC to score 132%
Winning margin — Draw28%
São Paulo FC to score 226%
São Paulo FC win to nil25%
São Paulo FC to score 3+22%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 122%
Santos FC to score 220%
São Paulo FC to score 020%
Santos FC clean sheet20%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 215%
Winning margin — Santos FC by 115%
Correct score 1-113%
Santos FC win to nil12%
Santos FC to score 3+10%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 2-09%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Santos FC by 27%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 37%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 43%
Winning margin — Santos FC by 32%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Santos FC by 41%
Winning margin — Santos FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%
São Paulo FC to win either half63%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
Santos FC to win either half42%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half result — São Paulo FC38%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%
São Paulo FC to score in both halves33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / São Paulo FC31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — Santos FC23%
Santos FC to score in both halves20%
HT/FT Draw / São Paulo FC16%
São Paulo FC to win both halves15%
HT/FT Santos FC / Santos FC15%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
HT/FT Draw / Santos FC10%
Santos FC to win both halves6%
HT/FT Santos FC / Draw5%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Santos FC / São Paulo FC3%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Santos FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — São Paulo FC +2.597%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +1.590%
Handicap — Santos FC -2.589%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +0.575%
Handicap — Santos FC -1.574%
Handicap — Santos FC -0.552%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -0.548%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -1.526%
Handicap — Santos FC +0.525%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -2.511%
Handicap — Santos FC +1.510%
Handicap — Santos FC +2.53%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Gabriel Barbosa (Santos FC)42%
Anytime scorer — Neymar (Santos FC)40%
Anytime scorer — Luciano (São Paulo FC)34%
Anytime scorer — Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo FC)28%
Anytime scorer — Álvaro Barreal (Santos FC)21%