Grêmio FBPA v São Paulo FC
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Football·Campeonato Brasileiro Série A· 2026-08-08 · 19:00

Grêmio FBPA v São Paulo FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.33 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 106 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Grêmio FBPA or Draw75%
Double chance — Grêmio FBPA or São Paulo FC72%
Draw no bet — Grêmio FBPA65%
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Draw53%
Grêmio FBPA to win47%
Draw no bet — São Paulo FC35%
Draw29%
São Paulo FC to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes54%
Under 2.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%
Under 1.5 goals25%
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
São Paulo FC to score 137%
São Paulo FC to score 034%
Grêmio FBPA clean sheet34%
Both score no draw34%
Grêmio FBPA to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Grêmio FBPA to score 226%
Grêmio FBPA win to nil25%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 122%
Grêmio FBPA to score 021%
São Paulo FC clean sheet21%
Grêmio FBPA to score 3+21%
São Paulo FC to score 220%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 115%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 215%
Correct score 1-114%
São Paulo FC win to nil12%
Correct score 1-010%
São Paulo FC to score 3+10%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 2-09%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 27%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 37%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 42%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 32%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 5+1%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 41%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%
Grêmio FBPA to win either half61%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
São Paulo FC to win either half41%
1st Half result — Grêmio FBPA36%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / Grêmio FBPA29%
Grêmio FBPA to score in both halves28%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — São Paulo FC22%
São Paulo FC to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / Grêmio FBPA17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / São Paulo FC15%
Grêmio FBPA to win both halves14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / São Paulo FC10%
São Paulo FC to win both halves5%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / Draw5%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Grêmio FBPA3%
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / São Paulo FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +2.597%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +1.590%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -2.590%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -1.575%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +0.575%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -0.553%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -0.547%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -1.525%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +0.525%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -2.510%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +1.510%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +2.53%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio FBPA)42%
Anytime scorer — Luciano (São Paulo FC)30%
Anytime scorer — Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo FC)29%
Anytime scorer — Ferreira (São Paulo FC)20%
Anytime scorer — Artur Guimaraes (São Paulo FC)15%