CA Mineiro v Grêmio FBPA
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Football·Campeonato Brasileiro Série A· 2026-08-16 · 19:00

CA Mineiro v Grêmio FBPA

Recommended bet
CA Mineiro or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — CA Mineiro47%1.81
Match Winner — Draw29%3.75
Match Winner — Grêmio FBPA24%4.83
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals53%1.82
Over 2.5 goals47%2.03
Model-only estimates · 103 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — CA Mineiro or Draw76%
Double chance — CA Mineiro or Grêmio FBPA71%
Draw no bet — CA Mineiro66%
Double chance — Grêmio FBPA or Draw53%
CA Mineiro to win47%
Draw no bet — Grêmio FBPA34%
Draw29%
Grêmio FBPA to win24%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 2.5 goals53%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals26%
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Grêmio FBPA to score 137%
Grêmio FBPA to score 036%
CA Mineiro clean sheet36%
CA Mineiro to score 133%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw29%
CA Mineiro win to nil27%
CA Mineiro to score 225%
Winning margin — CA Mineiro by 122%
CA Mineiro to score 022%
Grêmio FBPA clean sheet22%
CA Mineiro to score 3+20%
Grêmio FBPA to score 219%
Winning margin — CA Mineiro by 215%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 115%
Correct score 1-114%
Grêmio FBPA win to nil12%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-09%
Grêmio FBPA to score 3+8%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 27%
Winning margin — CA Mineiro by 37%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — CA Mineiro by 42%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 32%
Winning margin — CA Mineiro by 5+1%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 41%
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%
CA Mineiro to win either half60%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Half with most goals — 2nd42%
Grêmio FBPA to win either half39%
1st Half result — CA Mineiro35%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%
HT/FT CA Mineiro / CA Mineiro29%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
CA Mineiro to score in both halves27%
1st Half result — Grêmio FBPA21%
HT/FT Draw / CA Mineiro17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
Grêmio FBPA to score in both halves15%
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / Grêmio FBPA14%
CA Mineiro to win both halves14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%
HT/FT Draw / Grêmio FBPA10%
Grêmio FBPA to win both halves5%
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / Draw5%
HT/FT CA Mineiro / Draw5%
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / CA Mineiro2%
HT/FT CA Mineiro / Grêmio FBPA1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — CA Mineiro +2.597%
Handicap — CA Mineiro +1.591%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -2.590%
Handicap — CA Mineiro +0.576%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -1.575%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -0.553%
Handicap — CA Mineiro -0.547%
Handicap — CA Mineiro -1.525%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +0.524%
Handicap — CA Mineiro -2.510%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +1.59%
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +2.53%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio FBPA)38%
Anytime scorer — Victor Hugo Gomes (CA Mineiro)21%