Chapecoense AF v EC Bahia
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Football·Campeonato Brasileiro Série A· 2026-08-16 · 14:00

Chapecoense AF v EC Bahia

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or EC Bahia72%
Double chance — EC Bahia or Draw72%
Draw no bet — EC Bahia61%
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or Draw56%
EC Bahia to win44%
Draw no bet — Chapecoense AF39%
Chapecoense AF to win28%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Chapecoense AF to score 136%
EC Bahia to score 132%
Chapecoense AF to score 029%
EC Bahia clean sheet29%
Winning margin — Draw28%
EC Bahia to score 226%
Chapecoense AF to score 222%
EC Bahia to score 3+22%
EC Bahia win to nil22%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 121%
EC Bahia to score 020%
Chapecoense AF clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 116%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 214%
Correct score 1-113%
Chapecoense AF to score 3+13%
Chapecoense AF win to nil13%
Correct score 1-29%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 28%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 2-17%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 36%
Correct score 1-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 1-35%
Correct score 2-05%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 33%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 42%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 41%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 5+1%
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals82%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals77%
EC Bahia to win either half62%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals57%
Chapecoense AF to win either half47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals43%
1st Half result — Draw37%
1st Half result — EC Bahia37%
EC Bahia to score in both halves36%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
HT/FT EC Bahia / EC Bahia29%
1st Half result — Chapecoense AF26%
Chapecoense AF to score in both halves26%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%
Half with most goals — Equal23%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals19%
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Chapecoense AF18%
EC Bahia to win both halves15%
HT/FT Draw / EC Bahia15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%
HT/FT Draw / Chapecoense AF10%
Chapecoense AF to win both halves7%
HT/FT EC Bahia / Draw5%
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Draw5%
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / EC Bahia3%
HT/FT EC Bahia / Chapecoense AF2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — EC Bahia -2.596%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +2.590%
Handicap — EC Bahia -1.588%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +1.577%
Handicap — EC Bahia -0.572%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +0.556%
Handicap — EC Bahia +0.544%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -0.528%
Handicap — EC Bahia +1.523%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -1.513%
Handicap — EC Bahia +2.510%
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -2.54%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Luciano Juba (EC Bahia)54%
Anytime scorer — Everaldo (EC Bahia)32%
Anytime scorer — Willian José (EC Bahia)25%
Anytime scorer — Walter Clar (Chapecoense AF)15%