Chapecoense AF v EC Bahia
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Chapecoense AF v EC Bahia
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — EC Bahia44%2.13—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.60—
Match Winner — Chapecoense AF28%3.48—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals52%1.90—
Under 2.5 goals48%1.95—
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — EC Bahia or Draw72%——
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or EC Bahia72%——
Draw no bet — EC Bahia61%——
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or Draw56%——
EC Bahia to win44%——
Draw no bet — Chapecoense AF39%——
Draw28%——
Chapecoense AF to win28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Chapecoense AF to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
EC Bahia to score 133%——
Chapecoense AF to score 030%——
EC Bahia clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
EC Bahia to score 225%——
EC Bahia win to nil22%——
Chapecoense AF to score 222%——
EC Bahia to score 021%——
Chapecoense AF clean sheet21%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 121%——
EC Bahia to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 116%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 214%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Chapecoense AF win to nil13%——
Chapecoense AF to score 3+12%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 36%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 33%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 42%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 41%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%——
EC Bahia to win either half61%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
Chapecoense AF to win either half46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
1st Half result — EC Bahia36%——
EC Bahia to score in both halves34%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
HT/FT EC Bahia / EC Bahia29%——
1st Half result — Chapecoense AF26%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
Chapecoense AF to score in both halves24%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Chapecoense AF17%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Draw / EC Bahia15%——
EC Bahia to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / Chapecoense AF10%——
Chapecoense AF to win both halves7%——
HT/FT EC Bahia / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / EC Bahia3%——
HT/FT EC Bahia / Chapecoense AF2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — EC Bahia -2.596%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +2.591%——
Handicap — EC Bahia -1.588%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +1.577%——
Handicap — EC Bahia -0.572%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +0.556%——
Handicap — EC Bahia +0.544%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -0.528%——
Handicap — EC Bahia +1.523%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -1.512%——
Handicap — EC Bahia +2.59%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -2.54%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Luciano Juba (EC Bahia)48%——
Anytime scorer — Everaldo (EC Bahia)30%——
Anytime scorer — Willian José (EC Bahia)22%——
Anytime scorer — Walter Clar (Chapecoense AF)15%——