São Paulo FC v Coritiba FBC
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Football·Campeonato Brasileiro Série A· 2026-08-16 · 00:00

São Paulo FC v Coritiba FBC

Recommended bet
São Paulo FC or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.33 1/3
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — São Paulo FC46%1.70
Match Winner — Draw29%3.75
Match Winner — Coritiba FBC25%5.50
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals52%1.82
Over 2.5 goals48%2.03
Model-only estimates · 108 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Draw75%
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Coritiba FBC71%
Draw no bet — São Paulo FC65%
Double chance — Coritiba FBC or Draw54%
São Paulo FC to win46%
Draw no bet — Coritiba FBC35%
Draw29%
Coritiba FBC to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals88%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals74%
BTTS — Yes53%
Under 2.5 goals52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Over 2.5 goals48%
BTTS — No47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Under 1.5 goals25%
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Coritiba FBC to score 137%
Coritiba FBC to score 034%
São Paulo FC clean sheet34%
Both score no draw33%
São Paulo FC to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw29%
São Paulo FC to score 225%
São Paulo FC win to nil25%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 122%
São Paulo FC to score 022%
Coritiba FBC clean sheet22%
São Paulo FC to score 3+20%
Coritiba FBC to score 220%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 115%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 215%
Correct score 1-114%
Coritiba FBC win to nil13%
Correct score 1-010%
Coritiba FBC to score 3+9%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 2-09%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 27%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 37%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-04%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 32%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 42%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 41%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%
São Paulo FC to win either half61%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
Coritiba FBC to win either half41%
1st Half result — São Paulo FC36%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / São Paulo FC29%
São Paulo FC to score in both halves29%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Coritiba FBC22%
Coritiba FBC to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / São Paulo FC16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Coritiba FBC / Coritiba FBC15%
São Paulo FC to win both halves14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Draw / Coritiba FBC10%
Coritiba FBC to win both halves5%
HT/FT Coritiba FBC / Draw5%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Coritiba FBC / São Paulo FC3%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Coritiba FBC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — São Paulo FC +2.597%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC -2.590%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +1.590%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC -1.576%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +0.575%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC -0.554%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -0.546%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC +0.525%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -1.524%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC +1.510%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -2.510%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC +2.53%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Breno Lopes (Coritiba FBC)37%
Anytime scorer — Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo FC)33%
Anytime scorer — Luciano (São Paulo FC)31%
Anytime scorer — Joaquín Lavega (Coritiba FBC)23%
Anytime scorer — Ferreira (São Paulo FC)21%
Anytime scorer — Pedro Rocha (Coritiba FBC)19%
Anytime scorer — Artur Guimaraes (São Paulo FC)17%