São Paulo FC v Coritiba FBC
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Football·Campeonato Brasileiro Série A· 2026-08-16 · 00:00

São Paulo FC v Coritiba FBC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 108 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Draw75%
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Coritiba FBC72%
Draw no bet — São Paulo FC65%
Double chance — Coritiba FBC or Draw53%
São Paulo FC to win47%
Draw no bet — Coritiba FBC35%
Draw28%
Coritiba FBC to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes55%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals14%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Coritiba FBC to score 137%
Both score no draw35%
Coritiba FBC to score 033%
São Paulo FC clean sheet33%
São Paulo FC to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw28%
São Paulo FC to score 226%
São Paulo FC win to nil25%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 122%
São Paulo FC to score 3+21%
São Paulo FC to score 021%
Coritiba FBC clean sheet21%
Coritiba FBC to score 220%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 115%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 215%
Correct score 1-114%
Coritiba FBC win to nil12%
Coritiba FBC to score 3+10%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 2-09%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 27%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 37%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 43%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 32%
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 41%
Winning margin — Coritiba FBC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%
São Paulo FC to win either half62%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
Coritiba FBC to win either half42%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half result — São Paulo FC37%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
São Paulo FC to score in both halves31%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / São Paulo FC30%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — Coritiba FBC23%
Coritiba FBC to score in both halves19%
HT/FT Draw / São Paulo FC16%
HT/FT Coritiba FBC / Coritiba FBC15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
São Paulo FC to win both halves15%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Draw / Coritiba FBC10%
Coritiba FBC to win both halves6%
HT/FT Coritiba FBC / Draw5%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Coritiba FBC / São Paulo FC3%
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Coritiba FBC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — São Paulo FC +2.597%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC -2.590%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +1.590%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC -1.575%
Handicap — São Paulo FC +0.575%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC -0.553%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -0.547%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC +0.525%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -1.525%
Handicap — São Paulo FC -2.510%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC +1.510%
Handicap — Coritiba FBC +2.53%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Breno Lopes (Coritiba FBC)40%
Anytime scorer — Luciano (São Paulo FC)33%
Anytime scorer — Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo FC)31%
Anytime scorer — Joaquín Lavega (Coritiba FBC)25%
Anytime scorer — Ferreira (São Paulo FC)22%
Anytime scorer — Pedro Rocha (Coritiba FBC)20%
Anytime scorer — Artur Guimaraes (São Paulo FC)17%