Chapecoense AF v São Paulo FC
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Chapecoense AF v São Paulo FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or São Paulo FC71%——
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or Draw65%——
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Draw64%——
Draw no bet — Chapecoense AF51%——
Draw no bet — São Paulo FC49%——
Chapecoense AF to win36%——
São Paulo FC to win35%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
São Paulo FC to score 135%——
Chapecoense AF to score 135%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
São Paulo FC to score 026%——
Chapecoense AF clean sheet26%——
Chapecoense AF to score 025%——
São Paulo FC clean sheet25%——
Chapecoense AF to score 224%——
São Paulo FC to score 224%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 119%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 118%——
Chapecoense AF win to nil18%——
São Paulo FC win to nil17%——
Chapecoense AF to score 3+17%——
São Paulo FC to score 3+16%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 211%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 211%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 35%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 34%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 41%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 5+1%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Chapecoense AF to win either half54%——
São Paulo FC to win either half52%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Chapecoense AF31%——
1st Half result — São Paulo FC30%——
Chapecoense AF to score in both halves27%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
São Paulo FC to score in both halves26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Chapecoense AF23%——
HT/FT São Paulo FC / São Paulo FC22%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Chapecoense AF13%——
HT/FT Draw / São Paulo FC13%——
Chapecoense AF to win both halves10%——
São Paulo FC to win both halves10%——
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Draw5%——
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Chapecoense AF3%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / São Paulo FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +2.594%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC -2.594%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +1.583%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC -1.582%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +0.565%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC -0.564%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -0.536%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC +0.535%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -1.518%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC +1.517%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -2.56%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC +2.56%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Luciano (São Paulo FC)41%——
Anytime scorer — Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo FC)39%——
Anytime scorer — Ferreira (São Paulo FC)28%——
Anytime scorer — Walter Clar (Chapecoense AF)16%——