Chapecoense AF v São Paulo FC
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Chapecoense AF v São Paulo FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 106 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or São Paulo FC71%——
Double chance — São Paulo FC or Draw68%——
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — São Paulo FC55%——
Draw no bet — Chapecoense AF45%——
São Paulo FC to win40%——
Chapecoense AF to win32%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw36%——
Chapecoense AF to score 136%——
São Paulo FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Chapecoense AF to score 028%——
São Paulo FC clean sheet28%——
São Paulo FC to score 225%——
São Paulo FC to score 024%——
Chapecoense AF clean sheet24%——
Chapecoense AF to score 223%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 120%——
São Paulo FC win to nil20%——
São Paulo FC to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 117%——
Chapecoense AF win to nil15%——
Chapecoense AF to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 212%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 210%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 34%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 41%——
Winning margin — São Paulo FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
São Paulo FC to win either half56%——
Chapecoense AF to win either half49%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — São Paulo FC33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
São Paulo FC to score in both halves29%——
1st Half result — Chapecoense AF28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
HT/FT São Paulo FC / São Paulo FC25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
Chapecoense AF to score in both halves24%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Chapecoense AF20%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / São Paulo FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / Chapecoense AF12%——
São Paulo FC to win both halves12%——
Chapecoense AF to win both halves8%——
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / São Paulo FC3%——
HT/FT São Paulo FC / Chapecoense AF2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — São Paulo FC -2.595%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +2.593%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC -1.586%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +1.580%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC -0.568%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +0.561%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC +0.540%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -0.532%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC +1.520%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -1.515%——
Handicap — São Paulo FC +2.58%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Luciano (São Paulo FC)41%——
Anytime scorer — Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo FC)39%——
Anytime scorer — Ferreira (São Paulo FC)28%——
Anytime scorer — Artur Guimaraes (São Paulo FC)22%——
Anytime scorer — Walter Clar (Chapecoense AF)15%——