SE Palmeiras v EC Bahia
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Football·Campeonato Brasileiro Série A· 2026-10-09 · 00:30

SE Palmeiras v EC Bahia

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 108 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — SE Palmeiras or Draw75%
Double chance — SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia72%
Draw no bet — SE Palmeiras65%
Double chance — EC Bahia or Draw53%
SE Palmeiras to win47%
Draw no bet — EC Bahia35%
Draw28%
EC Bahia to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes54%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
EC Bahia to score 137%
Both score no draw34%
EC Bahia to score 034%
SE Palmeiras clean sheet34%
SE Palmeiras to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw28%
SE Palmeiras to score 226%
SE Palmeiras win to nil25%
Winning margin — SE Palmeiras by 122%
SE Palmeiras to score 021%
EC Bahia clean sheet21%
SE Palmeiras to score 3+21%
EC Bahia to score 220%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 115%
Winning margin — SE Palmeiras by 215%
Correct score 1-114%
EC Bahia win to nil12%
EC Bahia to score 3+10%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-09%
Correct score 0-09%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 27%
Winning margin — SE Palmeiras by 37%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — SE Palmeiras by 43%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 32%
Winning margin — SE Palmeiras by 5+1%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 41%
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%
SE Palmeiras to win either half62%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
EC Bahia to win either half41%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half result — SE Palmeiras36%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
SE Palmeiras to score in both halves30%
HT/FT SE Palmeiras / SE Palmeiras30%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — EC Bahia23%
EC Bahia to score in both halves18%
HT/FT Draw / SE Palmeiras16%
HT/FT EC Bahia / EC Bahia15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
SE Palmeiras to win both halves14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Draw / EC Bahia10%
EC Bahia to win both halves5%
HT/FT EC Bahia / Draw5%
HT/FT SE Palmeiras / Draw5%
HT/FT EC Bahia / SE Palmeiras3%
HT/FT SE Palmeiras / EC Bahia2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — SE Palmeiras +2.597%
Handicap — SE Palmeiras +1.590%
Handicap — EC Bahia -2.590%
Handicap — EC Bahia -1.575%
Handicap — SE Palmeiras +0.575%
Handicap — EC Bahia -0.553%
Handicap — SE Palmeiras -0.547%
Handicap — SE Palmeiras -1.525%
Handicap — EC Bahia +0.525%
Handicap — SE Palmeiras -2.510%
Handicap — EC Bahia +1.510%
Handicap — EC Bahia +2.53%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Luciano Juba (EC Bahia)31%
Anytime scorer — José Manuel López (SE Palmeiras)31%
Anytime scorer — Mauricio (SE Palmeiras)27%
Anytime scorer — Vítor Roque (SE Palmeiras)26%
Anytime scorer — Ramón Sosa (SE Palmeiras)19%
Anytime scorer — Erick (EC Bahia)17%
Anytime scorer — Everaldo (EC Bahia)17%