Chapecoense AF v Mirassol FC
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Chapecoense AF v Mirassol FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or Mirassol FC71%——
Double chance — Mirassol FC or Draw67%——
Double chance — Chapecoense AF or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Mirassol FC53%——
Draw no bet — Chapecoense AF47%——
Mirassol FC to win38%——
Chapecoense AF to win33%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Chapecoense AF to score 135%——
Mirassol FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Chapecoense AF to score 027%——
Mirassol FC clean sheet27%——
Mirassol FC to score 225%——
Mirassol FC to score 024%——
Chapecoense AF clean sheet24%——
Chapecoense AF to score 223%——
Winning margin — Mirassol FC by 119%——
Mirassol FC win to nil19%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 118%——
Mirassol FC to score 3+18%——
Chapecoense AF win to nil16%——
Chapecoense AF to score 3+15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Mirassol FC by 212%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 210%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Winning margin — Mirassol FC by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 34%——
Winning margin — Mirassol FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 41%——
Winning margin — Mirassol FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Chapecoense AF by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals61%——
Mirassol FC to win either half55%——
Chapecoense AF to win either half51%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals39%——
1st Half result — Mirassol FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Mirassol FC to score in both halves29%——
1st Half result — Chapecoense AF29%——
Chapecoense AF to score in both halves26%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%——
HT/FT Mirassol FC / Mirassol FC24%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Chapecoense AF21%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Mirassol FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / Chapecoense AF12%——
Mirassol FC to win both halves11%——
Chapecoense AF to win both halves9%——
HT/FT Mirassol FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chapecoense AF / Mirassol FC3%——
HT/FT Mirassol FC / Chapecoense AF2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Mirassol FC -2.595%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +2.593%——
Handicap — Mirassol FC -1.585%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +1.581%——
Handicap — Mirassol FC -0.567%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF +0.562%——
Handicap — Mirassol FC +0.538%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -0.533%——
Handicap — Mirassol FC +1.519%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -1.516%——
Handicap — Mirassol FC +2.57%——
Handicap — Chapecoense AF -2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Carlos Eduardo (Mirassol FC)34%——
Anytime scorer — Igor Formiga (Mirassol FC)18%——
Anytime scorer — Marcinho (Chapecoense AF)15%——