Grêmio FBPA v EC Bahia
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Grêmio FBPA v EC Bahia
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia71%——
Double chance — Grêmio FBPA or Draw67%——
Double chance — EC Bahia or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Grêmio FBPA54%——
Draw no bet — EC Bahia46%——
Grêmio FBPA to win38%——
EC Bahia to win33%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw36%——
EC Bahia to score 135%——
Grêmio FBPA to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
EC Bahia to score 027%——
Grêmio FBPA clean sheet27%——
Grêmio FBPA to score 224%——
Grêmio FBPA to score 024%——
EC Bahia clean sheet24%——
EC Bahia to score 223%——
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 119%——
Grêmio FBPA win to nil19%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 118%——
Grêmio FBPA to score 3+17%——
EC Bahia win to nil16%——
EC Bahia to score 3+15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 212%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 34%——
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 42%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 41%——
Winning margin — Grêmio FBPA by 5+1%——
Winning margin — EC Bahia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Grêmio FBPA to win either half55%——
EC Bahia to win either half50%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Grêmio FBPA32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — EC Bahia28%——
Grêmio FBPA to score in both halves28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
EC Bahia to score in both halves25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / Grêmio FBPA24%——
HT/FT EC Bahia / EC Bahia21%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Grêmio FBPA14%——
HT/FT Draw / EC Bahia12%——
Grêmio FBPA to win both halves11%——
EC Bahia to win both halves9%——
HT/FT EC Bahia / Draw5%——
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / Draw5%——
HT/FT EC Bahia / Grêmio FBPA3%——
HT/FT Grêmio FBPA / EC Bahia2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +2.595%——
Handicap — EC Bahia -2.593%——
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +1.585%——
Handicap — EC Bahia -1.581%——
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA +0.567%——
Handicap — EC Bahia -0.562%——
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -0.538%——
Handicap — EC Bahia +0.533%——
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -1.519%——
Handicap — EC Bahia +1.515%——
Handicap — Grêmio FBPA -2.57%——
Handicap — EC Bahia +2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Luciano Juba (EC Bahia)37%——
Anytime scorer — Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio FBPA)31%——
Anytime scorer — Jean Lucas (EC Bahia)15%——