PEC Zwolle v AFC Ajax
Back to board
Football·Eredivisie· 2026-08-09 · 12:30

PEC Zwolle v AFC Ajax

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw74%
Double chance — PEC Zwolle or AFC Ajax70%
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax63%
Double chance — PEC Zwolle or Draw56%
AFC Ajax to win44%
Draw no bet — PEC Zwolle38%
Draw30%
PEC Zwolle to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No49%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
PEC Zwolle to score 137%
PEC Zwolle to score 035%
AFC Ajax clean sheet35%
AFC Ajax to score 134%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
AFC Ajax win to nil25%
AFC Ajax to score 225%
AFC Ajax to score 024%
PEC Zwolle clean sheet24%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 122%
PEC Zwolle to score 220%
AFC Ajax to score 3+18%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 116%
Correct score 1-114%
PEC Zwolle win to nil14%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 214%
Correct score 0-110%
Correct score 0-010%
PEC Zwolle to score 3+9%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-29%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 28%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 2-17%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 32%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 42%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+1%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 41%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
AFC Ajax to win either half58%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
PEC Zwolle to win either half42%
1st Half result — AFC Ajax34%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax27%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
AFC Ajax to score in both halves26%
1st Half result — PEC Zwolle23%
PEC Zwolle to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax16%
HT/FT PEC Zwolle / PEC Zwolle16%
AFC Ajax to win both halves13%
HT/FT Draw / PEC Zwolle11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
PEC Zwolle to win both halves6%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%
HT/FT PEC Zwolle / Draw5%
HT/FT PEC Zwolle / AFC Ajax2%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / PEC Zwolle2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.597%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle +2.592%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.589%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle +1.578%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.574%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle +0.556%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.544%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle -0.526%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.522%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle -1.511%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.59%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle -2.53%