SBV Excelsior v PSV
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-08-15 · 18:00

SBV Excelsior v PSV

Recommended bet
PSV or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability85%
Implied (with margin)85%
Model edge
Odds1.18 2/11
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — PSV or Draw85%
Draw no bet — PSV80%
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or PSV74%
PSV to win59%
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or Draw41%
Draw26%
Draw no bet — SBV Excelsior20%
SBV Excelsior to win15%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — No54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — Yes46%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.533%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
SBV Excelsior to score 046%
PSV clean sheet46%
PSV win to nil37%
SBV Excelsior to score 136%
PSV to score 131%
Both score no draw29%
PSV to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw26%
PSV to score 3+25%
Winning margin — PSV by 125%
Winning margin — PSV by 219%
PSV to score 018%
SBV Excelsior clean sheet18%
SBV Excelsior to score 214%
Correct score 0-113%
Correct score 1-112%
Correct score 0-212%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 110%
Winning margin — PSV by 310%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 1-210%
SBV Excelsior win to nil8%
Correct score 0-37%
Correct score 1-35%
Correct score 1-05%
SBV Excelsior to score 3+4%
Correct score 2-14%
Winning margin — PSV by 44%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 24%
Correct score 2-24%
Winning margin — PSV by 5+2%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 31%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 40%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
PSV to win either half70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
1st Half result — PSV43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
HT/FT PSV / PSV38%
PSV to score in both halves33%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
SBV Excelsior to win either half29%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
PSV to win both halves20%
HT/FT Draw / PSV20%
1st Half result — SBV Excelsior15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
SBV Excelsior to score in both halves10%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / SBV Excelsior9%
HT/FT Draw / SBV Excelsior7%
HT/FT PSV / Draw4%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / Draw4%
SBV Excelsior to win both halves3%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / PSV3%
HT/FT PSV / SBV Excelsior1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — PSV -2.599%
Handicap — PSV -1.595%
Handicap — PSV -0.585%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +2.585%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +1.566%
Handicap — PSV +0.559%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +0.541%
Handicap — PSV +1.534%
Handicap — PSV +2.515%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -0.515%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -1.55%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -2.51%