SBV Excelsior v PSV
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-08-15 · 18:00

SBV Excelsior v PSV

Recommended bet
PSV or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge
Odds1.18 2/11
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — PSV or Draw85%
Draw no bet — PSV80%
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or PSV76%
PSV to win60%
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or Draw40%
Draw24%
Draw no bet — SBV Excelsior21%
SBV Excelsior to win16%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals53%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
SBV Excelsior to score 041%
PSV clean sheet41%
SBV Excelsior to score 137%
Both score no draw34%
PSV win to nil34%
PSV to score 3+30%
PSV to score 128%
PSV to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Winning margin — PSV by 123%
Winning margin — PSV by 219%
SBV Excelsior to score 216%
PSV to score 015%
SBV Excelsior clean sheet15%
Correct score 1-112%
Correct score 0-211%
Winning margin — PSV by 311%
Correct score 0-110%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 110%
Correct score 1-210%
Correct score 0-08%
SBV Excelsior win to nil7%
Correct score 0-37%
Correct score 1-36%
SBV Excelsior to score 3+6%
Winning margin — PSV by 45%
Correct score 2-15%
Correct score 2-24%
Correct score 1-04%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 24%
Winning margin — PSV by 5+2%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 31%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 40%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
PSV to win either half72%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
1st Half result — PSV45%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
HT/FT PSV / PSV40%
1st Half result — Draw39%
PSV to score in both halves38%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
SBV Excelsior to win either half31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
PSV to win both halves22%
HT/FT Draw / PSV19%
1st Half result — SBV Excelsior16%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
SBV Excelsior to score in both halves13%
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / SBV Excelsior9%
HT/FT Draw / SBV Excelsior7%
HT/FT PSV / Draw4%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / Draw4%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / PSV3%
SBV Excelsior to win both halves3%
HT/FT PSV / SBV Excelsior1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — PSV -2.599%
Handicap — PSV -1.595%
Handicap — PSV -0.585%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +2.582%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +1.563%
Handicap — PSV +0.560%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +0.540%
Handicap — PSV +1.537%
Handicap — PSV +2.518%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -0.516%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -1.55%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -2.51%