AFC Ajax v SC Heerenveen
Back to board
Football·Eredivisie· 2026-08-16 · 14:45

AFC Ajax v SC Heerenveen

Recommended bet
AFC Ajax or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw77%
Double chance — AFC Ajax or SC Heerenveen71%
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax67%
Double chance — SC Heerenveen or Draw52%
AFC Ajax to win48%
Draw no bet — SC Heerenveen33%
Draw29%
SC Heerenveen to win23%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
SC Heerenveen to score 037%
AFC Ajax clean sheet37%
SC Heerenveen to score 137%
AFC Ajax to score 133%
Both score no draw31%
Winning margin — Draw29%
AFC Ajax win to nil27%
AFC Ajax to score 225%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 123%
AFC Ajax to score 022%
SC Heerenveen clean sheet22%
AFC Ajax to score 3+19%
SC Heerenveen to score 218%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 215%
Winning margin — SC Heerenveen by 114%
Correct score 1-114%
SC Heerenveen win to nil12%
Correct score 1-011%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-09%
Correct score 2-19%
SC Heerenveen to score 3+8%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 37%
Correct score 0-17%
Winning margin — SC Heerenveen by 26%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 3-05%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 42%
Winning margin — SC Heerenveen by 32%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+1%
Winning margin — SC Heerenveen by 40%
Winning margin — SC Heerenveen by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
AFC Ajax to win either half61%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
SC Heerenveen to win either half39%
1st Half result — AFC Ajax36%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax30%
AFC Ajax to score in both halves28%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
1st Half result — SC Heerenveen21%
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
SC Heerenveen to score in both halves15%
AFC Ajax to win both halves14%
HT/FT SC Heerenveen / SC Heerenveen14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / SC Heerenveen10%
HT/FT SC Heerenveen / Draw5%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%
SC Heerenveen to win both halves5%
HT/FT SC Heerenveen / AFC Ajax2%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / SC Heerenveen1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.598%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.591%
Handicap — SC Heerenveen -2.590%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.577%
Handicap — SC Heerenveen -1.575%
Handicap — SC Heerenveen -0.552%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.548%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.525%
Handicap — SC Heerenveen +0.523%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.510%
Handicap — SC Heerenveen +1.59%
Handicap — SC Heerenveen +2.52%