NEC v SBV Excelsior
Back to board
NEC v SBV Excelsior
Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — NEC or Draw76%——
Double chance — NEC or SBV Excelsior71%——
Draw no bet — NEC65%——
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or Draw54%——
NEC to win46%——
Draw no bet — SBV Excelsior35%——
Draw29%——
SBV Excelsior to win24%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals76%——
Over 1.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes51%——
BTTS — No49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%——
Under 1.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%——
Over 3.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals1%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
SBV Excelsior to score 137%——
SBV Excelsior to score 036%——
NEC clean sheet36%——
NEC to score 134%——
Both score no draw32%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
NEC win to nil26%——
NEC to score 225%——
NEC to score 023%——
SBV Excelsior clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — NEC by 122%——
SBV Excelsior to score 219%——
NEC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 115%——
Winning margin — NEC by 215%——
Correct score 1-114%——
SBV Excelsior win to nil13%——
Correct score 1-011%——
Correct score 0-010%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 2-09%——
SBV Excelsior to score 3+8%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 27%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Winning margin — NEC by 36%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-04%——
Winning margin — NEC by 42%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 32%——
Winning margin — NEC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 41%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
NEC to win either half60%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
SBV Excelsior to win either half40%——
1st Half result — NEC35%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT NEC / NEC29%——
NEC to score in both halves27%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
1st Half result — SBV Excelsior22%——
HT/FT Draw / NEC17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
SBV Excelsior to score in both halves16%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / SBV Excelsior15%——
NEC to win both halves14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
HT/FT Draw / SBV Excelsior10%——
SBV Excelsior to win both halves5%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / Draw5%——
HT/FT NEC / Draw5%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / NEC2%——
HT/FT NEC / SBV Excelsior2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — NEC +2.597%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -2.591%——
Handicap — NEC +1.590%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -1.576%——
Handicap — NEC +0.576%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -0.554%——
Handicap — NEC -0.546%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +0.524%——
Handicap — NEC -1.524%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +1.510%——
Handicap — NEC -2.59%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +2.53%——