AFC Ajax v Willem II Tilburg
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-09-15 · 18:00

AFC Ajax v Willem II Tilburg

Recommended bet
AFC Ajax or Willem II Tilburg
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Willem II Tilburg78%
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw74%
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax67%
AFC Ajax to win52%
Double chance — Willem II Tilburg or Draw48%
Draw no bet — Willem II Tilburg33%
Willem II Tilburg to win26%
Draw22%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Under 5.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes72%
Under 4.5 goals67%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.563%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Under 3.5 goals48%
Goals range — 4-6 goals43%
Goals range — 2-3 goals38%
Over 4.5 goals33%
BTTS — No29%
Under 2.5 goals27%
Over 5.5 goals18%
Under 1.5 goals10%
Goals range — 0-1 goals10%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.59%
Goals range — 7+ goals9%
Under 0.5 goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw52%
AFC Ajax to score 3+38%
Willem II Tilburg to score 133%
AFC Ajax to score 227%
Willem II Tilburg to score 226%
AFC Ajax to score 124%
Winning margin — Draw22%
Willem II Tilburg to score 021%
AFC Ajax clean sheet21%
Willem II Tilburg to score 3+21%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 120%
AFC Ajax win to nil18%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 216%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 114%
AFC Ajax to score 011%
Willem II Tilburg clean sheet11%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 39%
Correct score 1-19%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 28%
Willem II Tilburg win to nil8%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 3-17%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 3-25%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 45%
Correct score 3-04%
Correct score 1-04%
Correct score 4-14%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 33%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+3%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 41%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals82%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals75%
AFC Ajax to win either half68%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals52%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals48%
Half with most goals — 2nd47%
AFC Ajax to score in both halves46%
Willem II Tilburg to win either half45%
1st Half result — AFC Ajax42%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax34%
1st Half result — Draw33%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Willem II Tilburg to score in both halves30%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals25%
1st Half result — Willem II Tilburg25%
Half with most goals — Equal21%
AFC Ajax to win both halves19%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals18%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / Willem II Tilburg16%
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
HT/FT Draw / Willem II Tilburg9%
Willem II Tilburg to win both halves7%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / Draw5%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / AFC Ajax4%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Willem II Tilburg3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.595%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.588%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -2.584%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.574%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -1.568%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.552%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -0.548%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.532%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +0.526%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.516%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +1.512%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +2.55%