AFC Ajax v PSV
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AFC Ajax v PSV
Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — PSV or Draw73%——
Double chance — AFC Ajax or PSV70%——
Draw no bet — PSV62%——
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw57%——
PSV to win43%——
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax38%——
Draw30%——
AFC Ajax to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals76%——
Over 1.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — No48%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%——
Under 1.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%——
Over 3.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals1%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
AFC Ajax to score 137%——
PSV to score 134%——
AFC Ajax to score 034%——
PSV clean sheet34%——
Both score no draw32%——
Winning margin — Draw30%——
PSV to score 224%——
PSV win to nil24%——
PSV to score 024%——
AFC Ajax clean sheet24%——
Winning margin — PSV by 122%——
AFC Ajax to score 220%——
PSV to score 3+17%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 116%——
Correct score 1-114%——
AFC Ajax win to nil14%——
Winning margin — PSV by 214%——
Correct score 0-110%——
Correct score 0-010%——
AFC Ajax to score 3+10%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 28%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Winning margin — PSV by 36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 33%——
Winning margin — PSV by 42%——
Winning margin — PSV by 5+1%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 41%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
PSV to win either half58%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
AFC Ajax to win either half42%——
1st Half result — PSV33%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT PSV / PSV27%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
PSV to score in both halves26%——
1st Half result — AFC Ajax23%——
AFC Ajax to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax16%——
HT/FT Draw / PSV16%——
PSV to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
AFC Ajax to win both halves6%——
HT/FT PSV / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / PSV2%——
HT/FT PSV / AFC Ajax2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — PSV -2.597%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.592%——
Handicap — PSV -1.589%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.578%——
Handicap — PSV -0.573%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.557%——
Handicap — PSV +0.543%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.527%——
Handicap — PSV +1.522%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.511%——
Handicap — PSV +2.58%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.53%——