Willem II Tilburg v SBV Excelsior
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-09-05 · 19:00

Willem II Tilburg v SBV Excelsior

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 2/15
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or Draw82%
Double chance — Willem II Tilburg or SBV Excelsior79%
Draw no bet — SBV Excelsior77%
SBV Excelsior to win61%
Double chance — Willem II Tilburg or Draw39%
Draw no bet — Willem II Tilburg23%
Draw21%
Willem II Tilburg to win18%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals85%
Under 4.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes65%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.556%
Under 3.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Goals range — 4-6 goals41%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
BTTS — No35%
Under 2.5 goals31%
Over 4.5 goals29%
Over 5.5 goals15%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.59%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw48%
SBV Excelsior to score 3+41%
Willem II Tilburg to score 136%
Willem II Tilburg to score 029%
SBV Excelsior clean sheet29%
SBV Excelsior to score 226%
SBV Excelsior win to nil25%
SBV Excelsior to score 123%
Willem II Tilburg to score 222%
Winning margin — Draw21%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 121%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 218%
Willem II Tilburg to score 3+13%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 312%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 111%
SBV Excelsior to score 010%
Willem II Tilburg clean sheet10%
Correct score 1-210%
Correct score 1-19%
Correct score 0-28%
Correct score 1-37%
Correct score 0-36%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 46%
Correct score 2-26%
Willem II Tilburg win to nil6%
Correct score 0-16%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 25%
Correct score 2-15%
Correct score 2-35%
Correct score 1-44%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 5+4%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 32%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 41%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals81%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals77%
SBV Excelsior to win either half75%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals50%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals50%
SBV Excelsior to score in both halves49%
1st Half result — SBV Excelsior48%
Half with most goals — 2nd47%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / SBV Excelsior42%
Willem II Tilburg to win either half35%
1st Half result — Draw33%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
SBV Excelsior to win both halves25%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals23%
Willem II Tilburg to score in both halves22%
Half with most goals — Equal21%
1st Half result — Willem II Tilburg19%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals19%
HT/FT Draw / SBV Excelsior17%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / Willem II Tilburg11%
HT/FT Draw / Draw9%
HT/FT Draw / Willem II Tilburg7%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / Draw5%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / Draw5%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / SBV Excelsior4%
Willem II Tilburg to win both halves4%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / Willem II Tilburg2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -2.598%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -1.593%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -0.582%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +2.578%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +0.561%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +1.560%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +1.540%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +0.539%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +2.522%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -0.518%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -1.58%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -2.52%