AC Monza v ACF Fiorentina
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AC Monza v ACF Fiorentina
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 152 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AC Monza or ACF Fiorentina71%——
Double chance — ACF Fiorentina or Draw68%——
Double chance — AC Monza or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — ACF Fiorentina55%——
Draw no bet — AC Monza46%——
ACF Fiorentina to win39%——
AC Monza to win32%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw36%——
AC Monza to score 136%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
AC Monza to score 028%——
ACF Fiorentina clean sheet28%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 224%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 024%——
AC Monza clean sheet24%——
AC Monza to score 223%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 120%——
ACF Fiorentina win to nil19%——
Winning margin — AC Monza by 118%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 3+17%——
AC Monza win to nil16%——
AC Monza to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 212%——
Winning margin — AC Monza by 210%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — AC Monza by 34%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 42%——
Winning margin — AC Monza by 41%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 5+1%——
Winning margin — AC Monza by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
ACF Fiorentina to win either half56%——
AC Monza to win either half50%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals39%——
1st Half result — ACF Fiorentina32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
ACF Fiorentina to score in both halves29%——
1st Half result — AC Monza28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%——
AC Monza to score in both halves25%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / ACF Fiorentina25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT AC Monza / AC Monza20%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / ACF Fiorentina14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / AC Monza12%——
ACF Fiorentina to win both halves11%——
AC Monza to win both halves9%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / Draw5%——
HT/FT AC Monza / Draw5%——
HT/FT AC Monza / ACF Fiorentina3%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / AC Monza2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -2.595%——
Handicap — AC Monza +2.593%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -1.585%——
Handicap — AC Monza +1.581%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -0.568%——
Handicap — AC Monza +0.561%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +0.539%——
Handicap — AC Monza -0.532%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +1.519%——
Handicap — AC Monza -1.515%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +2.57%——
Handicap — AC Monza -2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards89%——
Over 3.5 cards75%——
Under 6.5 cards75%——
Under 5.5 cards60%——
Over 4.5 cards58%——
Most cards — AC Monza52%——
Under 4.5 cards42%——
Over 5.5 cards41%——
Most cards — ACF Fiorentina30%——
Over 6.5 cards26%——
Under 3.5 cards25%——
Most cards — Tie18%——
Under 2.5 cards12%——
Any red card11%——
AC Monza expected cards3%——
ACF Fiorentina expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners87%——
Under 11.5 corners79%——
Under 10.5 corners69%——
Over 7.5 corners69%——
Most corners — ACF Fiorentina58%——
Under 9.5 corners57%——
Over 8.5 corners56%——
Under 8.5 corners44%——
Over 9.5 corners43%——
Under 7.5 corners31%——
Over 10.5 corners31%——
Most corners — AC Monza30%——
Over 11.5 corners21%——
Over 12.5 corners13%——
ACF Fiorentina expected corners5%——
AC Monza expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls78%——
Over 20.5 fouls70%——
Over 21.5 fouls63%——
Under 24.5 fouls62%——
Over 22.5 fouls54%——
Under 23.5 fouls54%——
Most fouls — AC Monza47%——
Over 23.5 fouls46%——
Under 22.5 fouls46%——
Most fouls — ACF Fiorentina45%——
Over 24.5 fouls38%——
Under 21.5 fouls37%——
Under 20.5 fouls30%——
Under 19.5 fouls23%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Gustavo Varela (AC Monza)64%——
Anytime scorer — Franco Mastantuono (ACF Fiorentina)35%——
Anytime scorer — Mateo Pellegrino (ACF Fiorentina)25%——
Anytime scorer — Jay Robinson (AC Monza)20%——