US Sassuolo Calcio v ACF Fiorentina
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US Sassuolo Calcio v ACF Fiorentina
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge—
Odds1.33 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 153 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — US Sassuolo Calcio or Draw73%——
Double chance — US Sassuolo Calcio or ACF Fiorentina71%——
Draw no bet — US Sassuolo Calcio61%——
Double chance — ACF Fiorentina or Draw56%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to win44%——
Draw no bet — ACF Fiorentina39%——
Draw29%——
ACF Fiorentina to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals73%——
BTTS — Yes54%——
Under 2.5 goals51%——
Over 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%——
Under 1.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
ACF Fiorentina to score 137%——
Both score no draw34%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score 134%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 032%——
US Sassuolo Calcio clean sheet32%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score 225%——
US Sassuolo Calcio win to nil23%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score 023%——
ACF Fiorentina clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 121%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 221%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 116%——
Correct score 1-114%——
ACF Fiorentina win to nil14%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 214%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 3+11%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 28%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 33%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 42%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 5+1%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 41%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to win either half60%——
ACF Fiorentina to win either half45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
1st Half result — US Sassuolo Calcio35%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score in both halves31%——
HT/FT US Sassuolo Calcio / US Sassuolo Calcio28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
1st Half result — ACF Fiorentina25%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
ACF Fiorentina to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / ACF Fiorentina17%——
HT/FT Draw / US Sassuolo Calcio15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Draw / ACF Fiorentina11%——
ACF Fiorentina to win both halves7%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / Draw5%——
HT/FT US Sassuolo Calcio / Draw5%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / US Sassuolo Calcio3%——
HT/FT US Sassuolo Calcio / ACF Fiorentina2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio +2.596%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -2.591%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio +1.589%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -1.578%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio +0.573%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -0.556%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio -0.544%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +0.527%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio -1.522%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +1.512%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio -2.59%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards89%——
Under 5.5 cards79%——
Over 2.5 cards76%——
Under 4.5 cards63%——
Over 3.5 cards56%——
Most cards — US Sassuolo Calcio48%——
Under 3.5 cards44%——
Over 4.5 cards37%——
Most cards — ACF Fiorentina32%——
Under 2.5 cards24%——
Over 5.5 cards21%——
Most cards — Tie20%——
Over 6.5 cards11%——
US Sassuolo Calcio expected cards2%——
ACF Fiorentina expected cards2%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners90%——
Under 11.5 corners83%——
Under 10.5 corners75%——
Over 7.5 corners64%——
Under 9.5 corners63%——
Over 8.5 corners50%——
Under 8.5 corners50%——
Most corners — US Sassuolo Calcio43%——
Most corners — ACF Fiorentina43%——
Over 9.5 corners37%——
Under 7.5 corners36%——
Over 10.5 corners26%——
Over 11.5 corners17%——
Over 12.5 corners10%——
US Sassuolo Calcio expected corners4%——
ACF Fiorentina expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls87%——
Under 23.5 fouls83%——
Under 22.5 fouls77%——
Under 21.5 fouls69%——
Under 20.5 fouls61%——
Under 19.5 fouls52%——
Most fouls — ACF Fiorentina51%——
Over 19.5 fouls48%——
Most fouls — US Sassuolo Calcio40%——
Over 20.5 fouls39%——
Over 21.5 fouls31%——
Over 22.5 fouls24%——
Over 23.5 fouls18%——
Over 24.5 fouls13%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Franco Mastantuono (ACF Fiorentina)41%——
Anytime scorer — Vasilije Adzic (US Sassuolo Calcio)40%——
Anytime scorer — Domenico Berardi (US Sassuolo Calcio)33%——
Anytime scorer — Mateo Pellegrino (ACF Fiorentina)30%——
Anytime scorer — Cas Odenthal (US Sassuolo Calcio)29%——