ACF Fiorentina v Atalanta BC
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ACF Fiorentina v Atalanta BC
Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 152 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Atalanta BC or Draw71%——
Double chance — ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC70%——
Double chance — ACF Fiorentina or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — Atalanta BC59%——
Draw no bet — ACF Fiorentina41%——
Atalanta BC to win41%——
Draw30%——
ACF Fiorentina to win29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals76%——
Over 1.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — No48%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%——
Under 1.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%——
Over 3.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals1%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
ACF Fiorentina to score 137%——
Atalanta BC to score 135%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 032%——
Atalanta BC clean sheet32%——
Both score no draw32%——
Winning margin — Draw30%——
Atalanta BC to score 025%——
ACF Fiorentina clean sheet25%——
Atalanta BC to score 224%——
Atalanta BC win to nil23%——
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 121%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 221%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 117%——
Atalanta BC to score 3+16%——
ACF Fiorentina win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 213%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 3+11%——
Correct score 0-010%——
Correct score 0-110%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 28%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 35%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 33%——
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 42%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 41%——
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%——
Atalanta BC to win either half55%——
ACF Fiorentina to win either half44%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
1st Half result — Atalanta BC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
HT/FT Atalanta BC / Atalanta BC25%——
1st Half result — ACF Fiorentina24%——
Atalanta BC to score in both halves24%——
ACF Fiorentina to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / ACF Fiorentina17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Atalanta BC15%——
HT/FT Draw / ACF Fiorentina12%——
Atalanta BC to win both halves11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%——
ACF Fiorentina to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Atalanta BC / Draw5%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / Draw5%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / Atalanta BC2%——
HT/FT Atalanta BC / ACF Fiorentina2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Atalanta BC -2.596%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +2.593%——
Handicap — Atalanta BC -1.588%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +1.580%——
Handicap — Atalanta BC -0.571%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +0.559%——
Handicap — Atalanta BC +0.541%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -0.529%——
Handicap — Atalanta BC +1.520%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -1.512%——
Handicap — Atalanta BC +2.57%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards92%——
Under 5.5 cards83%——
Over 2.5 cards72%——
Under 4.5 cards69%——
Most cards — Atalanta BC58%——
Over 3.5 cards51%——
Under 3.5 cards49%——
Over 4.5 cards32%——
Under 2.5 cards28%——
Any red card28%——
Most cards — ACF Fiorentina23%——
Most cards — Tie20%——
Over 5.5 cards17%——
Over 6.5 cards8%——
2+ red cards5%——
Atalanta BC expected cards2%——
ACF Fiorentina expected cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners94%——
Under 11.5 corners89%——
Under 10.5 corners82%——
Under 9.5 corners72%——
Under 8.5 corners59%——
Over 7.5 corners55%——
Most corners — ACF Fiorentina52%——
Under 7.5 corners45%——
Over 8.5 corners41%——
Most corners — Atalanta BC34%——
Over 9.5 corners28%——
Over 10.5 corners18%——
Over 11.5 corners11%——
Over 12.5 corners6%——
ACF Fiorentina expected corners4%——
Atalanta BC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls80%——
Under 23.5 fouls74%——
Under 22.5 fouls67%——
Over 19.5 fouls59%——
Under 21.5 fouls59%——
Under 20.5 fouls50%——
Over 20.5 fouls50%——
Most fouls — ACF Fiorentina48%——
Most fouls — Atalanta BC44%——
Under 19.5 fouls41%——
Over 21.5 fouls41%——
Over 22.5 fouls33%——
Over 23.5 fouls26%——
Over 24.5 fouls20%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Nikola Krstović (Atalanta BC)43%——
Anytime scorer — Franco Mastantuono (ACF Fiorentina)34%——
Anytime scorer — Mateo Pellegrino (ACF Fiorentina)24%——
Anytime scorer — Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta BC)17%——