AC Milan v Atalanta BC
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Football·Serie A· 2026-10-18 · 16:00

AC Milan v Atalanta BC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.33 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 155 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AC Milan or Atalanta BC70%
Double chance — AC Milan or Draw65%
Double chance — Atalanta BC or Draw65%
Draw no bet — AC Milan50%
Draw no bet — Atalanta BC50%
AC Milan to win35%
Atalanta BC to win35%
Draw30%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No47%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Atalanta BC to score 136%
AC Milan to score 136%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Atalanta BC to score 029%
AC Milan clean sheet29%
AC Milan to score 028%
Atalanta BC clean sheet28%
AC Milan to score 223%
Atalanta BC to score 223%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 119%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 119%
AC Milan win to nil19%
Atalanta BC win to nil19%
Correct score 1-114%
AC Milan to score 3+13%
Atalanta BC to score 3+13%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 211%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 211%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 0-19%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 34%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 34%
Correct score 3-13%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 41%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 41%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 5+0%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%
AC Milan to win either half50%
Atalanta BC to win either half50%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — AC Milan28%
1st Half result — Atalanta BC28%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
AC Milan to score in both halves21%
Atalanta BC to score in both halves21%
HT/FT AC Milan / AC Milan21%
HT/FT Atalanta BC / Atalanta BC21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / AC Milan13%
HT/FT Draw / Atalanta BC13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%
AC Milan to win both halves9%
Atalanta BC to win both halves9%
HT/FT Atalanta BC / Draw5%
HT/FT AC Milan / Draw5%
HT/FT Atalanta BC / AC Milan2%
HT/FT AC Milan / Atalanta BC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AC Milan +2.595%
Handicap — Atalanta BC -2.595%
Handicap — AC Milan +1.584%
Handicap — Atalanta BC -1.584%
Handicap — AC Milan +0.565%
Handicap — Atalanta BC -0.565%
Handicap — AC Milan -0.535%
Handicap — Atalanta BC +0.535%
Handicap — AC Milan -1.516%
Handicap — Atalanta BC +1.516%
Handicap — AC Milan -2.56%
Handicap — Atalanta BC +2.55%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards99%
Under 5.5 cards97%
Under 4.5 cards91%
Under 3.5 cards79%
Most cards — Atalanta BC60%
Under 2.5 cards59%
Over 2.5 cards41%
Most cards — Tie24%
Any red card22%
Over 3.5 cards21%
Most cards — AC Milan16%
Over 4.5 cards9%
Over 5.5 cards3%
2+ red cards3%
Atalanta BC expected cards2%
Over 6.5 cards1%
AC Milan expected cards1%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners100%
Under 11.5 corners99%
Under 10.5 corners98%
Under 9.5 corners96%
Under 8.5 corners91%
Under 7.5 corners84%
Most corners — AC Milan54%
Most corners — Atalanta BC29%
Over 7.5 corners16%
Over 8.5 corners9%
Over 9.5 corners4%
AC Milan expected corners3%
Atalanta BC expected corners2%
Over 10.5 corners2%
Over 11.5 corners1%
Over 12.5 corners0%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls90%
Under 23.5 fouls86%
Under 22.5 fouls81%
Under 21.5 fouls74%
Under 20.5 fouls66%
Under 19.5 fouls58%
Most fouls — AC Milan50%
Over 19.5 fouls42%
Most fouls — Atalanta BC41%
Over 20.5 fouls34%
Over 21.5 fouls26%
Over 22.5 fouls20%
Over 23.5 fouls14%
Over 24.5 fouls10%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Alphadjo Cisse (AC Milan)37%
Anytime scorer — Diego Moreira (AC Milan)37%
Anytime scorer — Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta BC)23%
Anytime scorer — Nikola Krstović (Atalanta BC)23%
Anytime scorer — Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta BC)23%
Anytime scorer — Adrien Rabiot (AC Milan)21%
Anytime scorer — Gonçalo Ramos (AC Milan)21%