US Sassuolo Calcio v AC Milan
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US Sassuolo Calcio v AC Milan
Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability74%
Implied (with margin)74%
Model edge—
Odds1.34 1/3
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — AC Milan38%1.87—
Match Winner — US Sassuolo Calcio32%4.50—
Match Winner — Draw30%3.91—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals53%2.09—
Over 2.5 goals47%1.87—
Over 2.75 goals—2.04—
Under 2.75 goals—1.84—
Model-only estimates · 156 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — US Sassuolo Calcio or AC Milan70%——
Double chance — AC Milan or Draw68%——
Double chance — US Sassuolo Calcio or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — AC Milan54%——
Draw no bet — US Sassuolo Calcio46%——
AC Milan to win38%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to win32%——
Draw30%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals88%——
Under 3.5 goals74%——
Over 1.5 goals74%——
BTTS — Yes54%——
Under 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
Over 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS — No46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%——
Under 1.5 goals26%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%——
Over 3.5 goals26%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals12%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
US Sassuolo Calcio to score 136%——
AC Milan to score 135%——
Both score no draw33%——
Winning margin — Draw30%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score 030%——
AC Milan clean sheet30%——
AC Milan to score 026%——
US Sassuolo Calcio clean sheet26%——
AC Milan to score 224%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score 222%——
AC Milan win to nil20%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 120%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 118%——
US Sassuolo Calcio win to nil17%——
AC Milan to score 3+15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score 3+13%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 212%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 210%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 34%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 41%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 41%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 5+1%——
Winning margin — US Sassuolo Calcio by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
AC Milan to win either half54%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to win either half49%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — AC Milan31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
1st Half result — US Sassuolo Calcio27%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
AC Milan to score in both halves25%——
HT/FT AC Milan / AC Milan24%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to score in both halves22%——
HT/FT US Sassuolo Calcio / US Sassuolo Calcio20%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / AC Milan14%——
HT/FT Draw / US Sassuolo Calcio12%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
AC Milan to win both halves10%——
US Sassuolo Calcio to win both halves8%——
HT/FT AC Milan / Draw5%——
HT/FT US Sassuolo Calcio / Draw5%——
HT/FT US Sassuolo Calcio / AC Milan2%——
HT/FT AC Milan / US Sassuolo Calcio2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AC Milan -2.595%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio +2.594%——
Handicap — AC Milan -1.586%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio +1.582%——
Handicap — AC Milan -0.568%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio +0.562%——
Handicap — AC Milan +0.538%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio -0.532%——
Handicap — AC Milan +1.518%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio -1.514%——
Handicap — AC Milan +2.57%——
Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio -2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards84%——
Under 6.5 cards82%——
Under 5.5 cards68%——
Over 3.5 cards68%——
Under 4.5 cards51%——
Over 4.5 cards49%——
Most cards — US Sassuolo Calcio46%——
Most cards — AC Milan35%——
Under 3.5 cards32%——
Over 5.5 cards32%——
Most cards — Tie19%——
Over 6.5 cards19%——
Under 2.5 cards16%——
US Sassuolo Calcio expected cards2%——
AC Milan expected cards2%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners96%——
Under 11.5 corners93%——
Under 10.5 corners87%——
Under 9.5 corners79%——
Most corners — US Sassuolo Calcio68%——
Under 8.5 corners68%——
Under 7.5 corners54%——
Over 7.5 corners46%——
Over 8.5 corners32%——
Over 9.5 corners21%——
Most corners — AC Milan20%——
Over 10.5 corners13%——
Over 11.5 corners7%——
US Sassuolo Calcio expected corners5%——
Over 12.5 corners4%——
AC Milan expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls95%——
Under 23.5 fouls93%——
Under 22.5 fouls89%——
Under 21.5 fouls84%——
Under 20.5 fouls78%——
Under 19.5 fouls71%——
Most fouls — AC Milan51%——
Most fouls — US Sassuolo Calcio39%——
Over 19.5 fouls29%——
Over 20.5 fouls22%——
Over 21.5 fouls16%——
Over 22.5 fouls11%——
Over 23.5 fouls8%——
Over 24.5 fouls5%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Diego Moreira (AC Milan)50%——
Anytime scorer — Vasilije Adzic (US Sassuolo Calcio)43%——
Anytime scorer — Alphadjo Cisse (AC Milan)37%——
Anytime scorer — Adrien Rabiot (AC Milan)37%——
Anytime scorer — Cristian Volpato (US Sassuolo Calcio)27%——
Anytime scorer — Domenico Berardi (US Sassuolo Calcio)21%——
Anytime scorer — Gonçalo Ramos (AC Milan)21%——
Anytime scorer — Cas Odenthal (US Sassuolo Calcio)17%——