Genoa CFC v ACF Fiorentina
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Genoa CFC v ACF Fiorentina
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge—
Odds1.34 1/3
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — ACF Fiorentina42%2.42—
Match Winner — Draw29%3.50—
Match Winner — Genoa CFC28%3.35—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals52%1.87—
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10—
Model-only estimates · 151 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — ACF Fiorentina or Draw72%——
Double chance — Genoa CFC or ACF Fiorentina71%——
Draw no bet — ACF Fiorentina60%——
Double chance — Genoa CFC or Draw58%——
ACF Fiorentina to win42%——
Draw no bet — Genoa CFC40%——
Draw29%——
Genoa CFC to win28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals88%——
Over 1.5 goals75%——
Under 3.5 goals74%——
BTTS — Yes54%——
Under 2.5 goals52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
Over 2.5 goals48%——
BTTS — No46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%——
Over 3.5 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals12%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Genoa CFC to score 136%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 134%——
Both score no draw34%——
Genoa CFC to score 032%——
ACF Fiorentina clean sheet32%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 225%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 024%——
Genoa CFC clean sheet24%——
ACF Fiorentina win to nil23%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 121%——
Genoa CFC to score 221%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Genoa CFC by 116%——
Genoa CFC win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 213%——
Genoa CFC to score 3+11%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Winning margin — Genoa CFC by 28%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Genoa CFC by 33%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 42%——
Winning margin — Genoa CFC by 41%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Genoa CFC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%——
ACF Fiorentina to win either half58%——
Genoa CFC to win either half45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%——
1st Half result — ACF Fiorentina34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%——
ACF Fiorentina to score in both halves28%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / ACF Fiorentina27%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Genoa CFC25%——
Genoa CFC to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT Genoa CFC / Genoa CFC17%——
HT/FT Draw / ACF Fiorentina15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%——
ACF Fiorentina to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Genoa CFC11%——
Genoa CFC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / Draw5%——
HT/FT Genoa CFC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Genoa CFC / ACF Fiorentina3%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / Genoa CFC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -2.596%——
Handicap — Genoa CFC +2.592%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -1.588%——
Handicap — Genoa CFC +1.579%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -0.572%——
Handicap — Genoa CFC +0.558%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +0.542%——
Handicap — Genoa CFC -0.528%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +1.521%——
Handicap — Genoa CFC -1.512%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +2.58%——
Handicap — Genoa CFC -2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards84%——
Under 6.5 cards81%——
Over 3.5 cards68%——
Under 5.5 cards68%——
Most cards — Genoa CFC59%——
Under 4.5 cards50%——
Over 4.5 cards50%——
Over 5.5 cards32%——
Under 3.5 cards32%——
Most cards — ACF Fiorentina23%——
Over 6.5 cards19%——
Any red card18%——
Most cards — Tie17%——
Under 2.5 cards16%——
Genoa CFC expected cards3%——
ACF Fiorentina expected cards2%——
2+ red cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners85%——
Under 11.5 corners76%——
Over 7.5 corners72%——
Under 10.5 corners66%——
Over 8.5 corners60%——
Under 9.5 corners54%——
Most corners — Genoa CFC51%——
Over 9.5 corners47%——
Under 8.5 corners40%——
Most corners — ACF Fiorentina36%——
Over 10.5 corners34%——
Under 7.5 corners28%——
Over 11.5 corners24%——
Over 12.5 corners16%——
Genoa CFC expected corners5%——
ACF Fiorentina expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls83%——
Under 23.5 fouls78%——
Under 22.5 fouls71%——
Under 21.5 fouls63%——
Over 19.5 fouls55%——
Under 20.5 fouls54%——
Most fouls — ACF Fiorentina50%——
Over 20.5 fouls46%——
Under 19.5 fouls45%——
Most fouls — Genoa CFC41%——
Over 21.5 fouls37%——
Over 22.5 fouls29%——
Over 23.5 fouls23%——
Over 24.5 fouls17%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Franco Mastantuono (ACF Fiorentina)54%——
Anytime scorer — Mateo Pellegrino (ACF Fiorentina)40%——
Anytime scorer — Milutin Osmajić (Genoa CFC)37%——