SS Lazio v AC Milan
Back to board
Football·Serie A· 2026-09-13 · 18:45

SS Lazio v AC Milan

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — SS Lazio or Draw74%
Double chance — SS Lazio or AC Milan70%
Draw no bet — SS Lazio63%
Double chance — AC Milan or Draw56%
SS Lazio to win44%
Draw no bet — AC Milan37%
Draw30%
AC Milan to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals90%
Under 3.5 goals77%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Under 2.5 goals55%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals28%
Goals range — 0-1 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals22%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals10%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
AC Milan to score 137%
AC Milan to score 035%
SS Lazio clean sheet35%
SS Lazio to score 134%
Both score no draw31%
Winning margin — Draw30%
SS Lazio win to nil25%
SS Lazio to score 224%
SS Lazio to score 024%
AC Milan clean sheet24%
Winning margin — SS Lazio by 122%
AC Milan to score 219%
SS Lazio to score 3+17%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 116%
Correct score 1-114%
AC Milan win to nil14%
Winning margin — SS Lazio by 214%
Correct score 1-011%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-19%
AC Milan to score 3+9%
Correct score 2-09%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 27%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — SS Lazio by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 32%
Winning margin — SS Lazio by 42%
Winning margin — SS Lazio by 5+1%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 41%
Winning margin — AC Milan by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals66%
SS Lazio to win either half58%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Half with most goals — 2nd42%
AC Milan to win either half41%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals34%
1st Half result — SS Lazio34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT SS Lazio / SS Lazio27%
SS Lazio to score in both halves25%
1st Half result — AC Milan22%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / SS Lazio16%
AC Milan to score in both halves16%
HT/FT AC Milan / AC Milan15%
SS Lazio to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / AC Milan11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%
AC Milan to win both halves5%
HT/FT AC Milan / Draw5%
HT/FT SS Lazio / Draw5%
HT/FT AC Milan / SS Lazio2%
HT/FT SS Lazio / AC Milan2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — SS Lazio +2.597%
Handicap — AC Milan -2.592%
Handicap — SS Lazio +1.590%
Handicap — AC Milan -1.578%
Handicap — SS Lazio +0.574%
Handicap — AC Milan -0.556%
Handicap — SS Lazio -0.544%
Handicap — AC Milan +0.526%
Handicap — SS Lazio -1.522%
Handicap — AC Milan +1.510%
Handicap — SS Lazio -2.59%
Handicap — AC Milan +2.53%